View Poll Results: What inflation rate is closest to the one you are you using for 2008?
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0%
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17 |
28.81% |
1%
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5 |
8.47% |
2%
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6 |
10.17% |
3%
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17 |
28.81% |
4%
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8 |
13.56% |
5%
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1 |
1.69% |
6%
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3 |
5.08% |
7%
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1 |
1.69% |
8% or higher
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1 |
1.69% |
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What Inflation Rate Will You Use for 2008?
01-27-2009, 10:10 AM
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#1
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 12,880
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What Inflation Rate Will You Use for 2008?
For those of you SWRers who increase your annual spending by inflation each year, what kind of a raise are you giving yourself this year?
[ click here for last year's poll]
__________________
Al
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01-27-2009, 10:12 AM
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#2
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Moderator Emeritus
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: minnesota
Posts: 13,228
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I'm taking a pay cut.
__________________
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No more lawyer stuff, no more political stuff, so no more CYA
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01-27-2009, 10:15 AM
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#3
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 12,880
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__________________
Al
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01-27-2009, 10:23 AM
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#4
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Texas: No Country for Old Men
Posts: 50,022
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I'm giving myself a 1.5% "raise", down from 3% last year. We're reducing all discretionary spending from 2008 levels but still need the additional 1.5% to fully cover the big increases in our health insurance premiums.
__________________
Numbers is hard
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01-27-2009, 10:29 AM
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#5
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Gone but not forgotten
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Sarasota,fl.
Posts: 11,447
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I also took a pay cut .
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01-27-2009, 10:31 AM
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#6
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Central, Ohio, USA
Posts: 2,635
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I said "0" which is pretty certain unless the CPI goes by about 6% for the rest of the Fiscal year. BTW our USA Official CPI is calculated Oct to Sep each year like the Government Fiscal Year.
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Vietnam Veteran, CW4 USA, Retired 1979
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01-27-2009, 11:05 AM
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#7
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 2,433
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I believe Firecalc uses the December year-over-year number, which would be 0.1% for 2008.
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01-27-2009, 11:26 AM
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#8
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Moderator Emeritus
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: New Orleans
Posts: 47,501
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TromboneAl
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Interesting table about halfway down the page!
Comparing each month from 1997 through 2008, 2008 had the highest monthly inflation rate of any year for each month from January until October. That's October, when the market crashed IMO.
Then for October, November, and December 2008, inflation came to a screeching halt. Inflation was hardly above 0% for December. Interesting (to me, at least).
__________________
Already we are boldly launched upon the deep; but soon we shall be lost in its unshored, harbourless immensities. - - H. Melville, 1851.
Happily retired since 2009, at age 61. Best years of my life by far!
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01-27-2009, 12:35 PM
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#9
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Denver, Colorado
Posts: 6,258
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I fall into the "status quo" category -- I hope not to need more this year than last. Besides...
Inflation Hedge.jpg
__________________
"It's tough to make predictions, especially when it involves the future." ~Attributed to many
"In theory, there is no difference between theory and practice. But, in practice, there is." ~(perhaps by) Yogi Berra
"Those who have knowledge, don't predict. Those who predict, don't have knowledge."~ Lau tzu
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01-27-2009, 04:50 PM
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#10
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Rio Grande Valley
Posts: 38,154
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I'm not planning on spending any more this year than I did last year.
Our living expenses were only 2.57% higher in 2008 over 2007 which is pretty amazing considering how some expenses really went up in 2008.
So, I suspect we'll be able to pretty much keep expenses in line in 2009 especially with the big drop in fuel prices.
Audrey
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01-27-2009, 05:17 PM
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#11
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Kansas City
Posts: 7,968
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+20% Not inflation - got a tad carried away on cheap you know what last year.
Plus I'm not getting any younger and my coupla bucks extra might give the economy a hand.
Of course the gloom and doom news might cause me to chicken out.
Since my excess is usually travel/food/entertainment - I do have a fair amount of wiggle room - knock on wood.
Bad guys like insurance jumps/taxes/utilities/major household repair(unplanned), etc could upset the apple cart.
Defense = Norwegian 3% minimum SEC yield of portfolio & offense 5% variable of a upbeat portfolio. Take note of inflation and try to pick between 3-5% range my portfolio gives me.
heh heh heh - don't need no stinking spreadsheet - wet finger in belly button while squinting into the future helps prognosticate inflation. .
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01-27-2009, 05:23 PM
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#12
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Dec 2008
Posts: 12,660
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got a tad carried away on cheap you know what last year.
No, what? (facial expression of great interest)
Amethyst
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01-27-2009, 05:28 PM
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#13
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Kansas City
Posts: 7,968
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01-27-2009, 05:44 PM
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#14
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts: 5,105
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.83%
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Sometimes death is not as tragic as not knowing how to live. This man knew how to live--and how to make others glad they were living. - Jack Benny at Nat King Cole's funeral
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01-27-2009, 07:24 PM
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#15
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 5,596
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3.5% based upon my cat's analysis of the cost of Fancy Feast. Hey, he's been right more often than I have.
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I purr therefore I am.
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01-27-2009, 07:39 PM
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#16
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 1,901
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I'll need an additional 1% to pay increased taxes.
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“I guess I should warn you, if I turn out to be particularly clear, you've probably misunderstood what I've said” Alan Greenspan
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01-28-2009, 03:56 AM
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#17
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Central, Ohio, USA
Posts: 2,635
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Opps I just re-read the poll - did not notice it was for 2008 (past tense). For 2008 I used 5.8% - the Government CPI (Oct 07 to Sep 08). For 2009, as I said previously, I am using 0% (although it could be negative, at the rate we are going).
__________________
Vietnam Veteran, CW4 USA, Retired 1979
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01-28-2009, 04:37 AM
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#18
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Denver, Colorado
Posts: 6,258
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Quote:
Originally Posted by OAG
Opps I just re-read the poll - did not notice it was for 2008 (past tense). ...
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TromboneAl
... what kind of a raise are you giving yourself this year?
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I fell for it also. I believe that's called "misdirection" in some circles.
Good one, TA.
__________________
"It's tough to make predictions, especially when it involves the future." ~Attributed to many
"In theory, there is no difference between theory and practice. But, in practice, there is." ~(perhaps by) Yogi Berra
"Those who have knowledge, don't predict. Those who predict, don't have knowledge."~ Lau tzu
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01-28-2009, 05:33 AM
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#19
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Denver, Colorado
Posts: 6,258
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In the Present sense, here is an interesting article:
Back on Walton’s Mountain
Quote:
Here’s a question: How much less spending is a good thing? One percent? Three? And remember, everyone spends less in a different way. Person A decides not to buy a new car and, boom, that’s 25 percent less spending in one gesture. Person B avoids restaurants and coffee — 10 percent over a year. The economics of less probably don’t spread themselves out across the board evenly.
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Quote:
And let’s also ask ourselves this: What if we actually do spend 10 percent less this year — and then decide to stay at that level? Is that healthy? Will China implode? What will be the next Iceland? The next Waterford Wedgwood?
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Quote:
To make matters worse, capitalism doesn’t seem to be saving the day.
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Quote:
And yet the prospect of less consumption fills us with dread. It’s not the having less part that is frightening — people are generally happy as long as everybody’s in the same boat. What’s frightening is the fear that our system can’t handle less, and it’s not as if there’s some other system out there shouting: “Try me! Try me!”
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Hmmm. Reminds me of my earlier comment in this Thread (#32 & #34):
Quote:
It is more like what I believe is called the "Paradox of Thrift." You know, while it is a good thing for you personally to save all the money you can, it is very bad if everyone did the same thing. So the optimal thing for you personally is to convince as many people as you can to splurge at every opportunity. Savers are simply no good for any economy (read "to anyone").
We can ridicule those people that are more (most?) aggressive in their spending all we want but the bottom line is that's what makes our (your's and mine) life, in general, better.
Another way I have heard it put is: "Kitty's heaven is Mousy's hell."
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__________________
"It's tough to make predictions, especially when it involves the future." ~Attributed to many
"In theory, there is no difference between theory and practice. But, in practice, there is." ~(perhaps by) Yogi Berra
"Those who have knowledge, don't predict. Those who predict, don't have knowledge."~ Lau tzu
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01-28-2009, 05:39 AM
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#20
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Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Hagersville
Posts: 794
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My pension COLA was 2.8 %. I am hoping to live entirely on the pension and do a few renovations as well so I will not be travelling and will be on a budget. Bought new used car last year so transportation should be covered.
Bruce
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I wish I was half as good as my dog thinks I am!
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