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09-16-2008, 06:46 PM
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#61
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Losing my whump
Posts: 22,697
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I'll bet she knows the answers...
__________________
Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful. Just another form of "buy low, sell high" for those who have trouble with things. This rule is not universal. Do not buy a 1973 Pinto because everyone else is afraid of it.
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09-16-2008, 09:01 PM
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#62
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Mar 2003
Posts: 18,085
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ziggy29
At least until their main watchdog started paying $3,000 an hour for hookers, anyway.
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There is a world of difference between the NYS Insurance Department and the attorney general. There is onlyone state insurance dept I would ever consider working for. Guess which one that is?
__________________
"All animals are equal, but some animals are more equal than others."
- George Orwell
Ezekiel 23:20
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09-16-2008, 09:05 PM
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#63
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Losing my whump
Posts: 22,697
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I'm not sure, but I'm quite certain I dont want to see any pictures of THEIR hookers...
__________________
Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful. Just another form of "buy low, sell high" for those who have trouble with things. This rule is not universal. Do not buy a 1973 Pinto because everyone else is afraid of it.
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09-17-2008, 04:10 AM
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#64
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 5,072
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AIG is in a cash crunch. IT has happened to many insurers over the years where a long-term asset is temporarily illiquid. In the case of the Mortgage Backed Securities... the question is: what are they worth? I am not sure anyone knows.
If I had an AIG P&C Policy... I would replace it.
As for Life insurance... I would research it. You may be stuck if you are not healthy or the cost is high. But I would consider replacing it... IMHO only use Triple A (conservative) Insurance Companies. NW Mutual would be my pick... there are a couple of others that are (Triple A rated across 3 or more rating agencies)
Regarding annuities that have not been annuitized. I would consider doing a 1099 rollover.
I am sure that insurance state commissioners will revise their RBC levels (for Mortgage backed securities) for Statutory reporting to the NAIC. WHile they are at it, they probably need to put an RBC provision in that limits holdings of any newly created securities that are not well understood. I am sure those $h!theads on Wallstreet will dream up another nightmare that will entice fools and bring out the opportunist... leaving everyone else holding the bag.
Hey didn't insurance companies expereince a Real Estate shock back in the early 90's from owning too much real estate. Mortgage Backed Securities would seem to have some similarities in risk. They are more liquid than owning the real estate... but if the asset values melt-down (the actual property)... then the results are similar.
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09-17-2008, 06:26 AM
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#65
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Houston
Posts: 4,337
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This whole thing is somewhat absurd. AIG is covered up with assets but the "mark to market" rule is hammering them. It's like your next door neighbor loses his job, gets divorced and has his house repossessed. Now, your mortgage company sees that the sale of your former neighbor's house is at 50% of its prior assumed value.
Here we take the tack that your mortgage is like the terms AIG and the other financial companies live under. It then demands that you pay off your $300,000 mortgage in 24 hours or it will take immediate possession of your home. You don't have time to sell your stocks or bonds and have the proceeds available. You don't have $300,000 in your checking account. Bang. You're bankrupt.
__________________
The object of life is not to be on the side of the majority, but to escape finding oneself in the ranks of the insane -- Marcus Aurelius
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09-17-2008, 06:46 AM
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#66
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Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 976
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The process in which insurance companies get liquidated and how creditors claims get paid is complicated and perhaps a convoluted process, dependent on the vagaries of state law and a state apparatus that is seldom, if ever, tested. My wife's professional malpractice insurance carrier went into liquidation/receivership and it was not a pretty picture. Who knows what type of cross-guaranty liability a family of insurance companies under one holding company might have against each other under state law -- the so-called "corporate shell" is not all that protective in this environment. Lawyers will think of creative ways to pierce corporate shells.
Looks like McCarran-Ferguson, the Federal law which permits the States to essentially regulate all aspects of the insurance business, might be turned on its head after this infusion of Federal funds into AIG. The state insurance departments appear to have been sleeping at the switch, which is quite different than OFHEO, the Federal entity that regulates Fannie and Freddie, which was a toothless regulator.
Chinaco, you seem to know a bit here. How do the state insurance regulators treat GICs or similar credit support instruments underwritten by insurance companies? According to the NY Times article today, a major reason for treating AIG's potential failure as a systemic risk to the economy is that it is heavily involved in esoteric credit support instruments in these mbs transactions. Is there a mechanism, like bank examiners, where they would classify the asset or investment risk and then adjust capital levels? Just curious.
__________________
Someday this war's gonna end . . .
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09-17-2008, 07:35 AM
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#67
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Mar 2003
Posts: 18,085
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisC
How do the state insurance regulators treat GICs or similar credit support instruments underwritten by insurance companies? According to the NY Times article today, a major reason for treating AIG's potential failure as a systemic risk to the economy is that it is heavily involved in esoteric credit support instruments in these mbs transactions. Is there a mechanism, like bank examiners, where they would classify the asset or investment risk and then adjust capital levels? Just curious.
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It depends on which entity wrote the GICs. If it is an insurance company obligation, the GIC has policyholder status in a liquidation, although state guaranty fund support is usually quite limited ($300k or so IIRC) if there isn't enough at the Insurer to cover claims.
But I believe that the bulk of the problematic transactions were not at the insurance company level.
__________________
"All animals are equal, but some animals are more equal than others."
- George Orwell
Ezekiel 23:20
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09-17-2008, 08:50 AM
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#68
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Houston
Posts: 4,337
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Quote:
Originally Posted by brewer12345
But I believe that the bulk of the problematic transactions were not at the insurance company level.
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That's been their story all along but we've been misled before.
__________________
The object of life is not to be on the side of the majority, but to escape finding oneself in the ranks of the insane -- Marcus Aurelius
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