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Old 02-18-2008, 11:31 AM   #21
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Originally Posted by cute fuzzy bunny View Post
Do note that we're nearing the tail end of a nice 30+ year bull market in [bonds / stocks / real estate / commodities / natural resources / beever cheeze futures]. Might not be so good from here.
The more things change... once we're done rebalancing I'm looking forward to some hands-off time.

I have to admit, though, that this is a challenging month to liquidate a college-fund equity portfolio for a CD ladder. Not that I'm complaining; our Berkshire overweighting made Cardude's portfolio look like UncleMick's Norwegian widow.

Originally Posted by cute fuzzy bunny View Post
But they sure do offer some predictable income...
I can hear my father-in-law right now (from five time zones away) muttering about that "predictable income" when the Fed gets involved with him rolling over his short-term Treasuries.

I think a lot of the bond knowledge of today's average investor is based on the experiences of their Depression-era ancestors, who got their bond knowledge from Jane Austen's "four-percenters" in an era of unprecedented British non-inflation economics. And with modern financial engineering, to me they seem even more complicated than stocks.

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Old 02-18-2008, 11:40 AM   #22
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They are that...
Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful. Just another form of "buy low, sell high" for those who have trouble with things. This rule is not universal. Do not buy a 1973 Pinto because everyone else is afraid of it.
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Old 02-18-2008, 04:23 PM   #23
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I guess most here have seen the Morningstar article predicting a DJIA at 18,500 in three years. Dow 18,500? Believe It - Morningstar Fund Spy

That would definitely have me eating FIRE.
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