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Old 02-18-2008, 10:31 AM   #21
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Do note that we're nearing the tail end of a nice 30+ year bull market in [bonds / stocks / real estate / commodities / natural resources / beever cheeze futures]. Might not be so good from here.
The more things change... once we're done rebalancing I'm looking forward to some hands-off time.

I have to admit, though, that this is a challenging month to liquidate a college-fund equity portfolio for a CD ladder. Not that I'm complaining; our Berkshire overweighting made Cardude's portfolio look like UncleMick's Norwegian widow.

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But they sure do offer some predictable income...
I can hear my father-in-law right now (from five time zones away) muttering about that "predictable income" when the Fed gets involved with him rolling over his short-term Treasuries.

I think a lot of the bond knowledge of today's average investor is based on the experiences of their Depression-era ancestors, who got their bond knowledge from Jane Austen's "four-percenters" in an era of unprecedented British non-inflation economics. And with modern financial engineering, to me they seem even more complicated than stocks.
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Old 02-18-2008, 10:40 AM   #22
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Old 02-18-2008, 03:23 PM   #23
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I guess most here have seen the Morningstar article predicting a DJIA at 18,500 in three years. Dow 18,500? Believe It - Morningstar Fund Spy

That would definitely have me eating FIRE.
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