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View Poll Results: How many will sell Equities into a Rally
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Yes. I'll sell 10% to 20%
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13 |
11.93% |
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Yes. I'll sell 20% to 40%
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3 |
2.75% |
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Yes. I'll sell 40% to 60%
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2 |
1.83% |
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Yes. I'll sell 60% to 80%
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0 |
0% |
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Yes. I'll sell 80% to 100%
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5 |
4.59% |
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No. I will not sell into a Rally
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86 |
78.90% |
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10-28-2008, 05:43 PM
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#21
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Central MS/Orange Beach, AL
Posts: 9,072
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Nope. Long way to go before I rebalance convert to cd's.
__________________
Retired 3/31/2007@52
Investing style: Full time wuss.
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10-28-2008, 06:19 PM
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#22
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 2,670
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I'm still a buy and hold guy.
Re-allocate based on age, yes. Right now I'm 65/35 and I plan on staying that way for another 5 years.
Sell for the sake of selling and distort my allocation, no.
__________________
No man is free who is not master of himself. --- Epictetus
Enjoy Yourself (It's Later Than You Think). --- Guy Lombardo
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10-28-2008, 06:42 PM
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#23
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: East Nowhere, 43N Latitude, NY
Posts: 9,037
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Inertia is a girl's best friend. 
any rally is welcome, but i am still fence straddling at 55/45 AA, now migrated to 50/50.
__________________
"All our dreams can come true, if we have the courage to pursue them." - Walt Disney
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10-28-2008, 07:03 PM
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#24
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: ENE MO - near STL
Posts: 424
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Heck no! 20-25% is not that far up from here. If I was going to do that I would have sold a while back. Now maybe when we get to 100% up from here I'll take some money off the table. That could be a while. 
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10-28-2008, 07:19 PM
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#25
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Minneapolis
Posts: 4,455
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I will think about it when the increase exceeds 56%.
__________________
May we live in peace and harmony and be free from all human sufferings.
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10-28-2008, 10:28 PM
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#26
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: May 2008
Location: No fixed abode
Posts: 8,765
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No, I'll never sell (except normal rebalance). I'm still DCAing my cash into the market, so I'm sort of hoping for a couple more months of ups and downs before we start the real recovery. I must admit to timing a bit in as much as I won't buy after a rally like today's. I wait a day or so and buy when it drops again.
__________________
"Good judgment comes from experience. Experience comes from bad judgement." - Anonymous (not Will Rogers or Sam Clemens)
DW and I - FIREd at 50 (7/06), living off assets
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10-29-2008, 07:40 AM
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#27
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 1,543
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seriously thinking of selling into this rally today or maybe tomorrow, so far my newsletters have been right on and new lows are probably on the way
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10-30-2008, 01:11 PM
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#28
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 1,543
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didn't sell yet, but tomorrow is a good possibility
SP is steadily climbing up and if it breaks yesterday's high it should run up to around 1050 before there will be a correction which i think will take us below the Oct 10th lows
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10-30-2008, 04:30 PM
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#29
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 337
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I'll just rebalance back towards my target AA.
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10-30-2008, 06:08 PM
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#30
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Rio Grande Valley
Posts: 38,145
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It depends on how big a rally we have! If it's a really good one, I'll be rebalancing by trimming equities and building up cash/bonds.
Audrey
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10-30-2008, 07:40 PM
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#31
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 1,901
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 Quote:
Originally Posted by audreyh1
It depends on how big a rally we have! If it's a really good one, I'll be rebalancing by trimming equities and building up cash/bonds.
Audrey
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In the original post I indicated a 20 to 25% rally. Sorry it was not in the poll headline. We're getting close to 20%.
__________________
“I guess I should warn you, if I turn out to be particularly clear, you've probably misunderstood what I've said” Alan Greenspan
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10-31-2008, 05:50 AM
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#32
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Moderator Emeritus
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: At The Cafe
Posts: 6,873
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I started buying again in June and will continue buying through ups and downs.
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10-31-2008, 05:34 PM
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#33
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 312
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Just for my own edification, what is the correct way to "sell into a rally?"
Assuming we enter a substantial rally, the "best" thing is likely to just hold ones' position. However, if one wound up over-weighted in stocks at this point, a rally will only make the imbalance worse.
So, if one is determined to rebalance, and assuming that one can't time the market or judge which stocks or funds will win, I presume that tax issues dominate here. Does one sell the biggest percentage short-term losers first, working towards long term and lesser losers, followed by the smallest gains? Is there a better strategy?
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11-01-2008, 10:03 AM
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#34
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Rio Grande Valley
Posts: 38,145
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bikerdude
In the original post I indicated a 20 to 25% rally. Sorry it was not in the poll headline. We're getting close to 20%.
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Oh - sorry - missed that. Only a 20 to 25% rally may not be enough since I didn't rebalance at the perfect bottom, but rather a couple of times on the way down.
I'll just have to keep running my spreadsheets into any major rallies and see.
But, if we do get close to 1150 or so on the S&P500, I suspect I will be blowing well through my rebalance triggers, and I will rebalance (i.e. sell equities).
Unfortunately, that is still a ways from here!
FWIW, I checked the first category since I will be selling some, but can't imagine going over 20% unless we rally 40%!
Audrey
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11-03-2008, 08:36 AM
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#35
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 1,543
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i probably won't sell since i have a 30 day trading restriction in my 401k. looked at 2001 and 1973 and in both cases the last leg down and the rally happened within 30 days. still think we are going to rally soon and will probably rebalance into cash sometime early next year depending how things go
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11-03-2008, 11:01 AM
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#36
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 2,288
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Quote:
Originally Posted by al_bundy
i probably won't sell since i have a 30 day trading restriction in my 401k. looked at 2001 and 1973 and in both cases the last leg down and the rally happened within 30 days. still think we are going to rally soon and will probably rebalance into cash sometime early next year depending how things go
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Rally soon? We already rallied 15% off of the bottom.
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11-03-2008, 11:45 AM
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#37
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 1,543
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i think the nasdaq has seen the bottom for 2008 but not the Dow or SP500. I think the latter two will have a selloff soon that will go below the October 10th lows and rally back up
it's in another thread, but the DJIA and the DJ Transport average always confirm each other. if one hits a new high the other one will too. same thing with a new low. The Transports went below and rallied above October 10th, but not the DJIA
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11-03-2008, 12:13 PM
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#38
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 1,901
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I'll probably sit tight, but I was thinking of reducing my risk to the downside a bit by selling a little D&C balanced , International and DVY. I would use the funds to buy Wellesley. My upside would be affected but I would think not by that much. I would be very tempted with a 50% rally.
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“I guess I should warn you, if I turn out to be particularly clear, you've probably misunderstood what I've said” Alan Greenspan
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