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View Poll Results: What is your prediction for the SP500 gain/loss in 2020?
gain more then 20% 7 4.61%
gain 15 to 20% 10 6.58%
gain 10 to 15% 22 14.47%
gain 5 to 10% 52 34.21%
gain 0 to 5% 27 17.76%
loss 0 to -5% 7 4.61%
loss -5 to -10% 8 5.26%
loss -10 to -15% 9 5.92%
loss -15 to -20% 4 2.63%
loss worse then -20% 6 3.95%
Voters: 152. You may not vote on this poll

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Your 2020 prediction for SP500
Old 12-23-2019, 11:01 AM   #1
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Your 2020 prediction for SP500

What will be the gain or loss in the SP500 (including dividends) for 2020?

This poll closes in 10 days so around January 2 2020.

Hint: the average annual gain for the SP500 (plus dividends) since 1951 has been about 11%.
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Old 12-23-2019, 11:12 AM   #2
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I put down "gain of more than 20%", being the eternal optimist.

Really, if any of us had any way of knowing then we'd have it made.
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Old 12-23-2019, 11:15 AM   #3
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Quote:
Originally Posted by W2R View Post
I put down "gain of more than 20%", being the eternal optimist.

Really, if any of us had any way of knowing then we'd have it made.
Since you have it made (from previous posts) I infer that you know what you are up to. So I'm planning on >20% and in me being wrong on my poll vote.
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Old 12-23-2019, 11:22 AM   #4
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I voted 5% to 10% up.

I think this year was a bounce-back from the needless downdraft last Christmas Eve. Things do seem to be tapping the brakes just a bit however.

So: A good year ahead but not as good as this year.
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Old 12-23-2019, 12:38 PM   #5
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I’m tired of predicting anything.
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Old 12-23-2019, 12:41 PM   #6
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My vote wasn't a prediction, it was a hope.
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Old 12-23-2019, 12:42 PM   #7
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Voted 5-10%, even though IIRC there actually have not been many years in this range.
Only 2+ years retired, so this would still be good enough to push SORR for another year.
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Old 12-23-2019, 02:04 PM   #8
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Let's face it.... It all depends on how things are looking through the year for the November 3rd 2020 election. Just about everything else is secondary.


But as it is now, I'd guess 15+%
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Old 12-23-2019, 02:29 PM   #9
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With being an election year, and the China trade deal yet to be made, and still getting benefits from the tax law changes, there are incentives for the markets to stay on the increase. I predict it will stay on a roll and be 15-20%.
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Old 12-23-2019, 02:45 PM   #10
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I think we are in for some pull backs, perhaps 15 to 20%
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Old 12-23-2019, 03:27 PM   #11
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With presidental elections coming up, that causes a flat/down market in the year before :
2007, 2011, 2015 ... but 2019 has broken that trend. So much for history being an indicator of future results?
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Old 12-23-2019, 03:31 PM   #12
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Quote:
Originally Posted by audreyh1 View Post
Iím tired of predicting anything.
I predict you will get your mojo back.
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Old 12-23-2019, 03:39 PM   #13
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I'll go with the apocryphal JP Morgan prediction: "It will fluctuate."
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Old 12-23-2019, 05:24 PM   #14
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+/- 500
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Old 12-23-2019, 05:36 PM   #15
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The Law of Attraction: it is going to be amazing!!

A great time to buy in the market is when it is rising.
A great time to buy in the market is when it is declining (treat it like a garage sale; you are getting a discount on, what you believe to be, great stocks)

End result, if you have time to keep your money in the market (ideal) and have money to invest then invest!

Over TIME, it rises.
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Old 12-23-2019, 05:42 PM   #16
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I just chose "worse than -20%", in the hope that I will be wrong as usual.

If I turn out to be right, don't blame me.
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Old 12-23-2019, 06:27 PM   #17
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Originally Posted by NW-Bound View Post
I just chose "worse than -20%", in the hope that I will be wrong as usual.

If I turn out to be right, don't blame me.

Oh but we will!
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Wild Bill shoulda taken more out of his IRA when he could have. . . .
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Old 12-23-2019, 09:04 PM   #18
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^^^ You should blame the person making the "Wh***" proclamation.
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Old 12-24-2019, 05:55 AM   #19
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I'm prepared for a major buying spree.



Cheers!
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Old 12-24-2019, 06:00 AM   #20
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-5 to -10%. I see it in the stars...things will happen.

I guess that means every other choice will happen.
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