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06-19-2016, 12:03 PM
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#1
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jun 2016
Location: Colorado
Posts: 8,971
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What I am overlooking?
Hi, new poster here. Just found this forum today.
I am 53, married no kids and plan to retire at 58. We have about $3 mm in conservative (50/40/10) investments which is about 35x our planned retirement expenses. I have health insurance, long term care insurance, umbrella liability, disability and life policies on both of us. We should be able to put away another $700k easily before 58. We have a long list of things we want to do and places to travel. We will try and defer SS until at least 67. I use the Fidelity Planner and an app called Retire Plan. I have also used Firecalc. Everything points to a positive outcome even with very conservative peremeters. Yet I still feel uneasy. What I am missing, overlooking?
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06-19-2016, 12:10 PM
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#2
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jan 2011
Location: Fair Lawn
Posts: 2,963
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I'd bet most of us here have less than your nest egg, never mind the additional $700,000 you anticipate. And it sure looks like you have all of your bases covered (e.g., insurance). Your anticipated withdrawal rate also seems well in the safe area.
So, for what it's worth, you sure look golden from here.
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06-19-2016, 12:15 PM
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#3
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Moderator Emeritus
Join Date: Apr 2011
Location: Conroe, Texas
Posts: 18,731
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Quote:
Originally Posted by COcheesehead
Yet I still feel uneasy. What I am missing, overlooking?
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Welcome to the Forum!
Well, it's certainly not money. Maybe it's lack of confidence?
Lots of folks here retire with way less than you and seem to do OK, even the ones with children that are not in college yet.
__________________
*********Go Yankees!*********
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06-19-2016, 12:42 PM
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#4
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Moderator
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: San Diego
Posts: 14,212
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Quote:
Originally Posted by aja8888
Welcome to the Forum!
Well, it's certainly not money. Maybe it's lack of confidence?
Lots of folks here retire with way less than you and seem to do OK, even the ones with children that are not in college yet.
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That would be me. Retired with less. Kids are teenagers/pre college.
You look pretty good to me. How confident are you on your spending? That's the only gotcha that seems to catch some off-kilter.... wrong assumptions about retirement spending (too high or too low.)
__________________
Retired June 2014. No longer an enginerd - now I'm just a nerd.
micro pensions 6%, rental income 20%
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06-19-2016, 12:50 PM
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#5
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Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: Apr 2014
Location: Houston
Posts: 958
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Quote:
Originally Posted by COcheesehead
.....We have a long list of things we want to do and places to travel. We will try and defer SS until at least 67. I use the Fidelity Planner and an app called Retire Plan. I have also used Firecalc. Everything points to a positive outcome even with very conservative peremeters. Yet I still feel uneasy. What I am missing, overlooking?
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Maybe you are asking the wrong question? With your assets, expected expenses and a long list of things you wish to do, maybe you should be challenging yourself on why you continue to work and not using these good years doing other things? You seem to have all the bases covered to do that if you wish.
Sent from my iPhone using Early Retirement Forum
__________________
"Learn everyday, but especially from the experiences of others. It's cheaper! " - John Bogle
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06-19-2016, 01:05 PM
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#6
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: Spending the Kids Inheritance and living in Chicago
Posts: 17,099
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Welcome.
You can retire now if you like.
Sure it's common to figure OMY (One More Year) of work, often due to being nervous about retiring.
If you have an accurate tracking of your spending it helps to relieve the mind.
If you currently get health insurance from employer, that is one that that would go up a lot when retired until you get to Medicare (which still costs money).
You don't mention a pension ?
You should be able to delay the higher income earner taking SS until 70 (reason is it makes the survivor payment larger for surviving spouse which is more important if you don't have any pension).
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06-19-2016, 02:08 PM
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#7
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 14,328
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Why wait until 58? I'd personally rather enjoy an additional 5 years of retirement.
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06-19-2016, 02:21 PM
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#8
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jun 2016
Location: Colorado
Posts: 8,971
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Thanks for the responses. The reason behind 58 is I am in a business and tied to a buyout that ends at 58. So I more or less have to work until then.
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06-19-2016, 02:30 PM
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#9
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Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: Jul 2011
Location: South Florida
Posts: 551
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Then I don't think that you overlooked anything !
Nice work
Rich
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06-19-2016, 02:50 PM
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#10
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Nov 2014
Posts: 150
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With the high-level summary OP gave, it does look good. Perhaps your unease would be helped by going over your expected annual spending with a finer-toothed comb? Ex: arrive at a detailed annual & monthly expense list that includes balloon / periodic expenses (cars, roof, major appliances, etc). You may have already done this, as evidenced by your x35 estimate.
Another tickling concern you may have is about a drawdown strategy. Do you know how you're going to execute your withdraws in detail, and with a couple options for boommvs bust years? This may also already be accounted for, as evidenced by your 10% cash allocation.
Hope the feedback you're getting is helpful and welcome to the forum!
__________________
The kids used to call me Captain Slow; now they also use Captain Cheap. I tell them, "Talk to the portfolio!"
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06-19-2016, 03:17 PM
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#11
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Administrator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Chicagoland
Posts: 40,726
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Quote:
Originally Posted by COcheesehead
What I am missing, overlooking?
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Welcome aboard, COcheesehead. These questions will help you answer that question http://www.early-retirement.org/foru...ire-69999.html
At first glance things look pretty solid. Needs more cowbell.
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06-19-2016, 06:35 PM
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#12
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jun 2016
Location: Colorado
Posts: 8,971
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Quote:
Originally Posted by growerVon
With the high-level summary OP gave, it does look good. Perhaps your unease would be helped by going over your expected annual spending with a finer-toothed comb? Ex: arrive at a detailed annual & monthly expense list that includes balloon / periodic expenses (cars, roof, major appliances, etc). You may have already done this, as evidenced by your x35 estimate.
Another tickling concern you may have is about a drawdown strategy. Do you know how you're going to execute your withdraws in detail, and with a couple options for boommvs bust years? This may also already be accounted for, as evidenced by your 10% cash allocation.
Hope the feedback you're getting is helpful and welcome to the forum!
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Drawdown strategy is the reason I found this forum. I am enjoying getting into the nitty gritty details, rather than just the 30,000 foot overview. Looking forward to learning more from all the members here. Thank you.
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06-19-2016, 11:02 PM
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#13
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: Spending the Kids Inheritance and living in Chicago
Posts: 17,099
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OP - Since you plan to retire at 58, just be sure to have 2 years worth of spending outside of any tax sheltered plans.
As you cannot withdraw from IRA without extra penalties until you are 59.5
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06-20-2016, 06:43 AM
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#14
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Sarasota, FL & Vermont
Posts: 36,376
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Quote:
Originally Posted by COcheesehead
Thanks for the responses. The reason behind 58 is I am in a business and tied to a buyout that ends at 58. So I more or less have to work until then.
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Are you required to work full-time until then? If not, perhaps going part-time and reducing your involvement over the next 5 years is a win-win for you and the business.... who knows, as you reduce your involvement they may figure out that they can do without you and let you go early or just have you be on-call.
__________________
If something cannot endure laughter.... it cannot endure.
Patience is the art of concealing your impatience.
Slow and steady wins the race.
Retired Jan 2012 at age 56
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06-20-2016, 09:51 AM
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#15
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jun 2016
Location: Colorado
Posts: 8,971
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Yes, I have to work full time.
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06-22-2016, 09:53 AM
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#16
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Mar 2014
Posts: 53
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I would never chose to work away 5 years of my healthy/physically capable adult life to chase some sort of "safety".....you won the game. Focus on what is important to you and enjoy your relative "youth".
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06-22-2016, 10:07 AM
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#17
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jun 2016
Location: Colorado
Posts: 8,971
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 2Birds1Stone
I would never chose to work away 5 years of my healthy/physically capable adult life to chase some sort of "safety".....you won the game. Focus on what is important to you and enjoy your relative "youth".
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I think everyone is missing the point. I have to work. I have a buy out in process and it requires me to remain a part of the company until 2021. Trust me, if I could bail now, I would.
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06-22-2016, 11:24 AM
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#18
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: Coronado
Posts: 3,707
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Quote:
Originally Posted by COcheesehead
I think everyone is missing the point. I have to work. I have a buy out in process and it requires me to remain a part of the company until 2021. Trust me, if I could bail now, I would.
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So you are engaged for a 5-year period of indentured servitude. You can use those 5 years to get more comfortable with the idea of retirement, practice living on your retirement budget and make sure your expenses stay in line.
One thing I see is that you have disability and life insurance for both you and your spouse. Do you need them? If either of you dies or becomes disabled, you do not need to replace income in order to have a comfortable retirement since you already have enough.
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06-22-2016, 11:49 AM
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#19
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jun 2016
Location: Colorado
Posts: 8,971
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cathy63
So you are engaged for a 5-year period of indentured servitude. You can use those 5 years to get more comfortable with the idea of retirement, practice living on your retirement budget and make sure your expenses stay in line.
One thing I see is that you have disability and life insurance for both you and your spouse. Do you need them? If either of you dies or becomes disabled, you do not need to replace income in order to have a comfortable retirement since you already have enough.
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Your point about the disability insurance is a good one. I think about cutting it off from time to time. It costs me less than $1200 a year so its not much. I have it outside of my company insurance to give me one more layer of protection. I have seen first hand friends who have had extended medical issues where they are unable to work for long periods. Having some income in those times just protects having to dip into retirement assets to buy the groceries. I still may cut it off in the next year or so as the assets grow. Thanks for the feedback.
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06-22-2016, 02:36 PM
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#20
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Aug 2013
Location: North
Posts: 4,043
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let's call it 4million by the time you hit 58 with a good 40 years of life left putting you out at 98.
That gives you 100k/yr to withdraw even if the money is in savings. If it's in the market you will realize another 40yrs of slightly more conservative gains.
Don't work too hard the next five years.
__________________
Time > $$$ ~ 100% equities ~ FIRE @2031
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