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Old 09-11-2015, 03:35 PM   #21
Confused about dryer sheets
 
Join Date: Sep 2015
Location: Manhattan Beach, CA
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Originally Posted by Lakewood90712 View Post
Manhattan Beach ? starter homes usually over 1.5 million, that is high income territory. Inasmuch as taxes are a big issue, especially here in the socialist workers paradise of California, may be wise to retain a good CPA. Mine is well worth the fees charged, and even has free chocolate bars with the 1040 form molded in Send me a PM if you would like a referral
High income... unless you don't have any which is essentially the case with me. I got lucky by buying in here 15 years ago. I do have a local CPA but thanks for the offer!
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Old 09-21-2015, 02:17 PM   #22
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Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: San Diego
Posts: 14,212
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Originally Posted by jernich View Post
At the risk of asking a dumb question.....
How do you use FIRECalc for estimating withdrawals? I see a cloud of curves in the output. Do you mean you eyeball an average from those to estimate a mean portfolio value year by year?

I use Quicken's planner as well, but as you say it's deterministic so generally only good for a base case, or for examining the effects of different assumptions. I'll have to try i-orp. Like you I want to look at all models. My favorite though is the spreadsheet I built which does a true equity performance Monte Carlo (based on S&P500 going back to 1950) and allows all kinds of input variables which I've added as I become aware of them.
I meant running "what-if" scenarios to see at what point your withdrawals were high enough to make the scenario fail.

There's also a tab labeled "investigate" that allows you to set a success rate (can be 100%) and it spits out the spend amount. You can then subtract out your other income sources (SS, pensions, rent, whatever) to see what the withdrawal could be.
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