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2010's done, where now? ... decades charts
01-01-2020, 10:09 AM
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#1
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: May 2006
Location: west coast, hi there!
Posts: 8,808
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2010's done, where now? ... decades charts
I updated my decades chart for the 2010's closeout. Nice run and it is encouraging to me that the slope for the 2010's ( see BLUE line) has been pretty constant over recent years. Sorry chart is a little cluttered but how else to show the wild rides over various decades?
Since my investment lifetime starts in the 1970's, I trimmed off the prior decades to show just 5 decades:
Go ahead, tell us what we should expect for the 2020's. I won't hold you to it.
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01-01-2020, 10:13 AM
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#2
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: On a hill in the Pine Barrens
Posts: 9,686
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I see the pattern. Next decade (2020's) will suck.
Happy New Year!
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01-01-2020, 10:54 AM
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#3
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Dec 2016
Location: DC area
Posts: 2,479
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Quote:
Originally Posted by target2019
I see the pattern. Next decade (2020's) will suck.
Happy New Year!
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Hmm, you must be looking at different graphs than me. Since WWII:
1950s +
1960s +
1970s -
1980s +
1990s +
2000s -
2010s +
2020s +?
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FI and Semi-ER March 24, 2017
Consulting to stay engaged
"All models are wrong, some are useful." - George Box
“There is always a well-known solution to every human problem: neat, plausible, and wrong.” - H.L. Mencken
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01-01-2020, 11:00 AM
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#4
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: On a hill in the Pine Barrens
Posts: 9,686
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I only count the last three.
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01-01-2020, 11:11 AM
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#5
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Sep 2011
Location: Placerville
Posts: 1,788
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I'm trying to visualize the decade lines all contiguous and where we would be, having invested over the duration compared to the 7% 'standard' line.
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01-01-2020, 11:26 AM
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#6
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Dec 2016
Location: DC area
Posts: 2,479
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That works too. Prediction is hard.
__________________
FI and Semi-ER March 24, 2017
Consulting to stay engaged
"All models are wrong, some are useful." - George Box
“There is always a well-known solution to every human problem: neat, plausible, and wrong.” - H.L. Mencken
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01-01-2020, 12:04 PM
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#7
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Apr 2011
Location: Madison
Posts: 1,337
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It will be the 1920's all over again
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Wild Bill shoulda taken more out of his IRA when he could have. . . .
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01-01-2020, 01:08 PM
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#8
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: On a hill in the Pine Barrens
Posts: 9,686
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Quote:
Originally Posted by USGrant1962
That works too. Prediction is hard.
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I know in my soul that the market will go up or down.
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01-01-2020, 01:36 PM
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#9
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Rio Grande Valley
Posts: 38,007
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Wow, impressive, pretty much matched the famous 1980s!
I haven’t gotten my mojo back yet - the future is blank.
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Retired since summer 1999.
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01-01-2020, 03:26 PM
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#10
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Moderator Emeritus
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: New Orleans
Posts: 47,473
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Very nice, as always, Lsbcal! Thanks.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lsbcal
Go ahead, tell us what we should expect for the 2020's. I won't hold you to it.
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Since my crystal ball is still malfunctioning, I pulled out all the stops; I checked my most secret, valuable source of information and found the answer. Here you go:
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Already we are boldly launched upon the deep; but soon we shall be lost in its unshored, harbourless immensities. - - H. Melville, 1851.
Happily retired since 2009, at age 61. Best years of my life by far!
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01-01-2020, 04:23 PM
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#11
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jan 2017
Location: Hog Mountian
Posts: 2,077
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Quote:
Originally Posted by target2019
I know in my soul that the market will go up or down.
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Not this time. It's gonna be flat, but with significant volatility. The result might be significant gains or losses.
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Never let yesterday use up too much of today.
W. Rogers
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01-01-2020, 04:33 PM
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#12
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Aug 2010
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The bookend events of the 2000s give that decade a bum rap. You could pick another arbitrary 10-year period and the slopes would smooth out significantly.
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"Time wounds all heels...." - Groucho Marx
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01-01-2020, 04:53 PM
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#13
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 1,934
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Great chart. Thanks.
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And if I claim to be a wise man, it surely means that I don't know.
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01-01-2020, 05:15 PM
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#14
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Dec 2015
Posts: 2,232
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where to now?
I'm going back 10 years and changing my AA to better take advantage of the decade long bull market.
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01-02-2020, 07:20 AM
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#15
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Mar 2010
Location: Chicago
Posts: 1,154
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I get the feeling the market will not be allowed to go down until after November 2020.
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01-02-2020, 07:33 AM
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#16
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Aug 2013
Location: North
Posts: 4,031
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Lsbcal impressive visual chart! Thanks for this...
I feel and this is a gut...I've only been alive since the 80s...that we are approaching 80s and 90s territory. Will it be better or worse? Only by a little, that is my prediction so somewhere slightly above where the 80s landed or slightly below where the 90s landed.
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