Join Early Retirement Today
Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
2010's done, where now? ... decades charts
Old 01-01-2020, 10:09 AM   #1
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Lsbcal's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: west coast, hi there!
Posts: 8,808
2010's done, where now? ... decades charts

I updated my decades chart for the 2010's closeout. Nice run and it is encouraging to me that the slope for the 2010's (see BLUE line) has been pretty constant over recent years. Sorry chart is a little cluttered but how else to show the wild rides over various decades?




Since my investment lifetime starts in the 1970's, I trimmed off the prior decades to show just 5 decades:





Go ahead, tell us what we should expect for the 2020's. I won't hold you to it.
Lsbcal is offline   Reply With Quote
Join the #1 Early Retirement and Financial Independence Forum Today - It's Totally Free!

Are you planning to be financially independent as early as possible so you can live life on your own terms? Discuss successful investing strategies, asset allocation models, tax strategies and other related topics in our online forum community. Our members range from young folks just starting their journey to financial independence, military retirees and even multimillionaires. No matter where you fit in you'll find that Early-Retirement.org is a great community to join. Best of all it's totally FREE!

You are currently viewing our boards as a guest so you have limited access to our community. Please take the time to register and you will gain a lot of great new features including; the ability to participate in discussions, network with our members, see fewer ads, upload photographs, create a retirement blog, send private messages and so much, much more!

Old 01-01-2020, 10:13 AM   #2
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
target2019's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: On a hill in the Pine Barrens
Posts: 9,686
I see the pattern. Next decade (2020's) will suck.
Happy New Year!
target2019 is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 01-01-2020, 10:54 AM   #3
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
USGrant1962's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2016
Location: DC area
Posts: 2,479
Quote:
Originally Posted by target2019 View Post
I see the pattern. Next decade (2020's) will suck.
Happy New Year!
Hmm, you must be looking at different graphs than me. Since WWII:

1950s +
1960s +
1970s -
1980s +
1990s +
2000s -
2010s +
2020s +?
__________________
FI and Semi-ER March 24, 2017
Consulting to stay engaged

"All models are wrong, some are useful." - George Box
There is always a well-known solution to every human problem: neat, plausible, and wrong.” - H.L. Mencken
USGrant1962 is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 01-01-2020, 11:00 AM   #4
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
target2019's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: On a hill in the Pine Barrens
Posts: 9,686
I only count the last three.
target2019 is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 01-01-2020, 11:11 AM   #5
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
skipro33's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2011
Location: Placerville
Posts: 1,788
I'm trying to visualize the decade lines all contiguous and where we would be, having invested over the duration compared to the 7% 'standard' line.
skipro33 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-01-2020, 11:26 AM   #6
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
USGrant1962's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2016
Location: DC area
Posts: 2,479
Quote:
Originally Posted by target2019 View Post
I only count the last three.
That works too. Prediction is hard.
__________________
FI and Semi-ER March 24, 2017
Consulting to stay engaged

"All models are wrong, some are useful." - George Box
There is always a well-known solution to every human problem: neat, plausible, and wrong.” - H.L. Mencken
USGrant1962 is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 01-01-2020, 12:04 PM   #7
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
dtbach's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2011
Location: Madison
Posts: 1,337
It will be the 1920's all over again
__________________
Wild Bill shoulda taken more out of his IRA when he could have. . . .
dtbach is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-01-2020, 01:08 PM   #8
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
target2019's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: On a hill in the Pine Barrens
Posts: 9,686
Quote:
Originally Posted by USGrant1962 View Post
That works too. Prediction is hard.
I know in my soul that the market will go up or down.
target2019 is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 01-01-2020, 01:36 PM   #9
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
audreyh1's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Rio Grande Valley
Posts: 38,007
Wow, impressive, pretty much matched the famous 1980s!

I haven’t gotten my mojo back yet - the future is blank.
__________________
Retired since summer 1999.
audreyh1 is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 01-01-2020, 03:26 PM   #10
Moderator Emeritus
W2R's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: New Orleans
Posts: 47,473
Very nice, as always, Lsbcal! Thanks.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Lsbcal View Post
Go ahead, tell us what we should expect for the 2020's. I won't hold you to it.
Since my crystal ball is still malfunctioning, I pulled out all the stops; I checked my most secret, valuable source of information and found the answer. Here you go:
Attached Images
File Type: jpg Capture.JPG (16.5 KB, 93 views)
__________________
Already we are boldly launched upon the deep; but soon we shall be lost in its unshored, harbourless immensities. - - H. Melville, 1851.

Happily retired since 2009, at age 61. Best years of my life by far!
W2R is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 01-01-2020, 04:23 PM   #11
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Red Badger's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2017
Location: Hog Mountian
Posts: 2,077
Quote:
Originally Posted by target2019 View Post
I know in my soul that the market will go up or down.
Not this time. It's gonna be flat, but with significant volatility. The result might be significant gains or losses.
__________________
Never let yesterday use up too much of today.
W. Rogers
Red Badger is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-01-2020, 04:33 PM   #12
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
 
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: Back woods of Fennario
Posts: 1,170
The bookend events of the 2000s give that decade a bum rap. You could pick another arbitrary 10-year period and the slopes would smooth out significantly.
__________________
"Time wounds all heels...." - Groucho Marx
LRDave is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-01-2020, 04:53 PM   #13
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Onward's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 1,934
Great chart. Thanks.
__________________
And if I claim to be a wise man, it surely means that I don't know.
Onward is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-01-2020, 05:15 PM   #14
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
 
Join Date: Dec 2015
Posts: 2,232
where to now?

I'm going back 10 years and changing my AA to better take advantage of the decade long bull market.
HadEnuff is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-02-2020, 07:20 AM   #15
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
 
Join Date: Mar 2010
Location: Chicago
Posts: 1,154
I get the feeling the market will not be allowed to go down until after November 2020.
ripper1 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-02-2020, 07:33 AM   #16
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
 
Join Date: Aug 2013
Location: North
Posts: 4,031
Lsbcal impressive visual chart! Thanks for this...

I feel and this is a gut...I've only been alive since the 80s...that we are approaching 80s and 90s territory. Will it be better or worse? Only by a little, that is my prediction so somewhere slightly above where the 80s landed or slightly below where the 90s landed.
__________________
Time > $$$ ~ 100% equities ~ FIRE @2031
kgtest is online now   Reply With Quote
Reply


Currently Active Users Viewing This Thread: 1 (0 members and 1 guests)
 
Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are Off
Pingbacks are Off
Refbacks are Off


Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
Decades charts - SP500, PE10, inflation Lsbcal FIRE and Money 15 01-11-2014 03:10 PM
What's a couple of decades between spouses? Focus FIRE and Money 11 09-02-2013 12:24 PM
Woman dies after 4 decades in a coma Purron Other topics 6 11-24-2012 11:17 PM
Japanese centenarians that have been dead for decades. Alan Other topics 15 11-07-2010 09:12 PM
Net Worth lowest point in decades. RonBoyd FIRE and Money 3 05-09-2008 02:28 PM

» Quick Links

 
All times are GMT -6. The time now is 12:51 PM.
 
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.8 Beta 1
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.