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I think I've got it!
Old 01-13-2016, 12:29 PM   #1
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I think I've got it!
Making a note to myself to sell it all in late 2023.

Looks like every eight years -- 2000, 2008, (so far) 2016 -- Mister Market vomits up a lot of its past gains. So it appears in the next wave I can ride until late 2023, before the bear market of 2024.

Yes, I'm kidding. Mostly.
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Old 01-13-2016, 01:13 PM   #2
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But if you go 8 years back to 1992, the S&P had a total return of +7.6%.
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Old 01-13-2016, 03:58 PM   #3
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You are on to something. You know all those studies that backtest when is the best time to rebalance? Well, one of them will come up with "every 8 years using the US presidential election years." There is already one that says "every 4 years using the US presidential election years", but I guess quite a few presidents serve for 2 terms, so that probably got messed up.
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Old 01-13-2016, 04:04 PM   #4
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The market will roar as soon as Wall Street 2015 bonuses are all paid.
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