|
|
11-07-2014, 02:41 PM
|
#161
|
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 2,842
|
OK since several have asked I will continue to post here market musings when I find items that are interesting to me in the market.
__________________
But then what do I really know?
https://www.early-retirement.org/forums/f44/why-i-believe-we-are-about-to-embark-on-a-historic-bull-market-run-101268.html
|
|
|
|
Join the #1 Early Retirement and Financial Independence Forum Today - It's Totally Free!
Are you planning to be financially independent as early as possible so you can live life on your own terms? Discuss successful investing strategies, asset allocation models, tax strategies and other related topics in our online forum community. Our members range from young folks just starting their journey to financial independence, military retirees and even multimillionaires. No matter where you fit in you'll find that Early-Retirement.org is a great community to join. Best of all it's totally FREE!
You are currently viewing our boards as a guest so you have limited access to our community. Please take the time to register and you will gain a lot of great new features including; the ability to participate in discussions, network with our members, see fewer ads, upload photographs, create a retirement blog, send private messages and so much, much more!
|
11-07-2014, 02:57 PM
|
#162
|
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 1,495
|
"You assume that the people who study the market full time will produce superior results. But it's all mystique as the dismal record shows."
--Jane Bryant Quinn
|
|
|
11-07-2014, 03:14 PM
|
#163
|
Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: Dec 2013
Location: San Diego
Posts: 880
|
Making predictions is always enjoyable and amusing, I make them myself all the time. Making bets on those predictions with your hard earned money is quite a different thing. Even if you win on black. Do you play black again? Or red? Acting on my predictions, especially in light of my previous success rate, and the success rate of others, is too much stress for me. Rather go out and enjoy watching the last hummingbirds of the season, and anticipate enjoying my next sunrise, hot morning coffee and my future travel adventures.
__________________
Merrily, merrily, merrily, merrily,
Life is but a dream.
|
|
|
11-07-2014, 04:43 PM
|
#164
|
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 7,746
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by CaliforniaMan
Making predictions is always enjoyable and amusing, I make them myself all the time. Making bets on those predictions with your hard earned money is quite a different thing. Even if you win on black. Do you play black again? Or red? Acting on my predictions, especially in light of my previous success rate, and the success rate of others, is too much stress for me. Rather go out and enjoy watching the last hummingbirds of the season, and anticipate enjoying my next sunrise, hot morning coffee and my future travel adventures.
|
The hummingbirds have left us already in North Carolina. Now we're stuck watching sunsets, the leaves fall, and the trees change colors. Infinitely more entertaining and infinitely cheaper than making bets on the stock market and trying to jump in and out.
__________________
Retired in 2013 at age 33. Keeping busy reading, blogging, relaxing, gaming, and enjoying the outdoors with my wife and 3 kids (8, 13, and 15).
|
|
|
11-07-2014, 04:51 PM
|
#165
|
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Mar 2009
Posts: 2,983
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by FUEGO
The hummingbirds have left us already in North Carolina. Now we're stuck watching sunsets, the leaves fall, and the trees change colors. Infinitely more entertaining and infinitely cheaper than making bets on the stock market and trying to jump in and out.
|
Priorities. That's what I'm talking about. Success in the investment world is way too boring and simple for many of us to understand.
__________________
Took SS at 62 and hope I live long enough to regret the decision.
|
|
|
11-07-2014, 05:09 PM
|
#166
|
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Aug 2011
Location: West of the Mississippi
Posts: 17,173
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by CaliforniaMan
Making predictions is always enjoyable and amusing, I make them myself all the time.
|
Does anybody remember Criswell? As I recall he had a TV show called Criswell Predicts.
http://www.criswellpredicts.com
__________________
Comparison is the thief of joy
The worst decisions are usually made in times of anger and impatience.
|
|
|
11-07-2014, 05:17 PM
|
#167
|
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Rio Grande Valley
Posts: 38,008
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Options
"You assume that the people who study the market full time will produce superior results. But it's all mystique as the dismal record shows."
--Jane Bryant Quinn
|
Glad I always read her Newsweek column when in my 20s. It saved me a lot do dumb moves.
I'm pretty sure the above is in regards to financial advisors.
__________________
Retired since summer 1999.
|
|
|
11-07-2014, 05:25 PM
|
#168
|
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jun 2013
Location: Bonita (San Diego)
Posts: 1,795
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by RAE
+1. Please continue to share your thoughts with us, RunningMan. I'd be interested to hear your thoughts on where the markets go from here, after the end of QE and after the election.
|
My guess is up and down a bunch of times, but up over the long term.
__________________
"So we beat to our own drummer in the sun;
We ask for nobody's permission to run.
I just wanna live in a world like that;
Now I'm gonna live in a world like that!" - World Like That, O.A.R.
|
|
|
11-18-2014, 03:57 PM
|
#169
|
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 2,433
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by clifp
While I think US stocks are expensive on an absolute basis. On a relative basis they are still cheaper than bonds. If the market does rally past 2000, I'll start buying back in at 2050 to 2100.
|
I'm curious if you started buying back in today.
__________________
I'd rather be governed by the first one hundred names in the telephone book than the Harvard faculty - William F. Buckley
|
|
|
11-18-2014, 04:18 PM
|
#170
|
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Aug 2013
Location: North
Posts: 4,031
|
I don't think you're the only one. I am "buying back in" tomorrow, unless we open short.
I reduced some (70%) of my assets from old 401k's to vg MM when Running_Man surfaced his sentiments on 2050 at the beginning of this post. I pulled the trigger on an uptick on 1/2 of that (prob diverging, maybe not) from his plan he stated in the post...but I felt it was a great time to buy AAPL at $97 a share when it dipped. I will be buying back in with another 5%...although with the nice gains we had...that 5% is more money today...which is not a bad thing. I will DCA the remaining 30% through the January effect and into the beginning of next year.
__________________
Time > $$$ ~ 100% equities ~ FIRE @2031
|
|
|
11-18-2014, 04:24 PM
|
#171
|
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Rio Grande Valley
Posts: 38,008
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by kgtest
I don't think you're the only one. I am "buying back in" tomorrow, unless we open short.
I reduced some (70%) of my assets from old 401k's to vg MM when Running_Man surfaced his sentiments on 2050 at the beginning of this post. I pulled the trigger on an uptick on 1/2 of that (prob diverging, maybe not) from his plan he stated in the post...but I felt it was a great time to buy AAPL at $97 a share when it dipped. I will be buying back in with another 5%...although with the nice gains we had...that 5% is more money today...which is not a bad thing. I will DCA the remaining 30% through the January effect and into the beginning of next year.
|
Good call on the AAPL purchase!
__________________
Retired since summer 1999.
|
|
|
11-18-2014, 04:30 PM
|
#172
|
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: yonder
Posts: 2,851
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by audreyh1
Good call on the AAPL purchase!
|
Thanks, Audrey. But how did you know that we just purchased two new iPhone 6's?
__________________
When the people shall have nothing more to eat, they will eat the rich--philosopher Jean-Jacques Rousseau
|
|
|
11-18-2014, 04:34 PM
|
#173
|
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Aug 2013
Location: North
Posts: 4,031
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by redduck
Thanks, Audrey. But how did you know that we just purchased two new iPhone 6's?
|
Lol. Everyone will be buying I Anythings this Christmas. Just like the past christmas, and the one before and the one before...
Someone else in the forum actually tipped me on AAPL just in time for the drop...said they buy everytime it gets to $90. I knew it wouldn't go that low again in my life (or at least for a while lol).
__________________
Time > $$$ ~ 100% equities ~ FIRE @2031
|
|
|
11-18-2014, 05:14 PM
|
#174
|
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Rio Grande Valley
Posts: 38,008
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by redduck
Thanks, Audrey. But how did you know that we just purchased two new iPhone 6's?
|
LOL!
DH refuses to take profits on the shares we bought during early 2013, when Apple got "beaten down".
Today it closed above a pre-split price of $800.
__________________
Retired since summer 1999.
|
|
|
11-18-2014, 06:04 PM
|
#175
|
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: yonder
Posts: 2,851
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by audreyh1
LOL!
DH refuses to take profits on the shares we bought during early 2013, when Apple got "beaten down".
Today it closed above a pre-split price of $800.
|
Hey, we bought it at about the same time: I actually bought it for the dividend (and hopefully a growing dividend--which didn't happen). I bought it twice, once with a dividend of 2.5% and then later a 2.7% dividend.
Oh, since we both own this here Apple Corporation, does that mean we're partners? (I think I saw your lips, moving saying "redduck, not a chance in the world we'd ever be partners"). I think I read that correctly. But, I won't take it personally.
Audrey, you need to be kind here--I just noticed this is post 1000 for the redduck.
__________________
When the people shall have nothing more to eat, they will eat the rich--philosopher Jean-Jacques Rousseau
|
|
|
11-18-2014, 06:46 PM
|
#176
|
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Rio Grande Valley
Posts: 38,008
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by redduck
Hey, we bought it at about the same time: I actually bought it for the dividend (and hopefully a growing dividend--which didn't happen). I bought it twice, once with a dividend of 2.5% and then later a 2.7% dividend.
Oh, since we both own this here Apple Corporation, does that mean we're partners? (I think I saw your lips, moving saying "redduck, not a chance in the world we'd ever be partners"). I think I read that correctly. But, I won't take it personally.
Audrey, you need to be kind here--I just noticed this is post 1000 for the redduck.
|
Congrats!
We have more Apple shares from the late 90s.
__________________
Retired since summer 1999.
|
|
|
11-18-2014, 07:27 PM
|
#177
|
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: yonder
Posts: 2,851
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by audreyh1
Congrats!
We have more Apple shares from the late 90s.
|
"All luck," I say, "all luck!"
__________________
When the people shall have nothing more to eat, they will eat the rich--philosopher Jean-Jacques Rousseau
|
|
|
11-18-2014, 08:38 PM
|
#178
|
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 2,842
|
The market is at an interesting juncture here, if correct on CNBC today they stated that this correction from the low has been the fastest sustained move in the Dow Jones Industrial Average ever, it doesn't seem right to me but I would sure like to know if that is true.
__________________
But then what do I really know?
https://www.early-retirement.org/forums/f44/why-i-believe-we-are-about-to-embark-on-a-historic-bull-market-run-101268.html
|
|
|
11-18-2014, 09:45 PM
|
#179
|
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Rio Grande Valley
Posts: 38,008
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by redduck
"All luck," I say, "all luck!"
|
Completely and entirely!
__________________
Retired since summer 1999.
|
|
|
11-18-2014, 10:25 PM
|
#180
|
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 7,733
|
I said I get back in if went over 2050. So I guess it is time. Most of the puts I sold back when the market dipped expire 11/22. So I'll start buying again next week.
I went through the dividend investor newsletter and there were only a handful of stock trading below their buy price, and none that I don't own. So I guess I'll buy mostly index funds.
|
|
|
|
|
Currently Active Users Viewing This Thread: 1 (0 members and 1 guests)
|
|
Thread Tools |
|
Display Modes |
Linear Mode
|
Posting Rules
|
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts
HTML code is Off
|
|
|
|
» Recent Threads
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
» Quick Links
|
|
|