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03-30-2020, 08:58 AM
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#1641
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Feb 2017
Posts: 1,844
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 Quote:
Originally Posted by ERD50
what words would be used to describe how far behind you were most months on that chart
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I claim randomness.
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03-30-2020, 08:59 AM
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#1642
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Texas: No Country for Old Men
Posts: 50,022
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Boho
I claim randomness.
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IOW, the same strategy that won you the contest.
__________________
Numbers is hard
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03-30-2020, 09:01 AM
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#1643
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Feb 2017
Posts: 1,844
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ERD50
? That's not a rewording, it's a contradiction.
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No, I DID trade in early March. I just retired a few weeks early but I didn't quit as soon as I was ahead. I traded for months after that. I also traded after being ahead in the beginning of the contest before you started monitoring it.
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03-31-2020, 08:07 PM
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#1644
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Feb 2017
Posts: 1,844
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ERD50
he caught up and passed during the rising market, and just sort of held on a bit during the drop (just some un-invested cash?).
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Not just some cash. I shorted the S&P 500 in February.
https://www.early-retirement.org/for...ml#post2377855
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03-31-2020, 08:37 PM
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#1645
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Feb 2017
Posts: 1,844
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Quote:
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Currently Active Users Viewing This Thread: 34 (2 members and 32 guests)
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Wow, I've never seen that many guests. I imagine there are some high level discussions about my achievement in the finance world. I'll consider a work from home gig with the right firm.
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03-31-2020, 08:48 PM
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#1646
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Northern IL
Posts: 26,896
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But he didn't win. He lost to 4 others per his list. And some dropped out. Randomness would have predicted that some would be better, some worse.
The contest was "beat Boho", not "Can Boho beat the market?".
-ERD50
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03-31-2020, 08:52 PM
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#1647
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Northern IL
Posts: 26,896
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Boho
Wow, I've never seen that many guests. I imagine there are some high level discussions about my achievement in the finance world. I'll consider a work from home gig with the right firm.
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Good luck with that.
I heard that Nassim Nicholas Taleb was looking for talented dart-throwing monkeys. Give him a call.
And BTW, this has been my view from the start, I've been consistent. No excuses.
-ERD50
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03-31-2020, 08:52 PM
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#1648
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Feb 2017
Posts: 1,844
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ERD50
The contest was "beat Boho".
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Yes. Others were tasked to beat me. I just had to show up so I technically didn't lose to anyone.
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03-31-2020, 09:10 PM
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#1649
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Northern IL
Posts: 26,896
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Boho
Yes. Others were tasked to beat me. I just had to show up so I technically didn't lose to anyone.
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Quote:
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"80 percent of success is just showing up" —Woody Allen
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Now, for your 'strategy' to work in real life, you just need to convince the rest of the market to not show up. Should be easy, right?
IOW, this might have been 'fun', but it really has zero bearing on making money in real life.
-ERD50
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04-07-2020, 03:15 PM
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#1650
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Feb 2017
Posts: 1,844
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Here's a larger version of my avatar. The brokerages apparently think they can learn how I trade from my posts so I'm not receiving offers, but maybe publishers would be interested. You could see my writing experience from my post count. I know MS Word.
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