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Why bother picking stocks, just go with S&P index etf (SPY)
02-21-2013, 07:34 PM
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#1
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Confused about dryer sheets
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 7
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Why bother picking stocks, just go with S&P index etf (SPY)
I spent my whole life investing in various stocks, thinking I was smarter than the others and could outperform the market. I did ok, but some of the success could have just been luck. I now only trade in stock indexes, as I hated the insider information and manipulation that would occur with individual stocks. I don't believe that is possible with a large index fund such as SPY. So in your AA, whatever portion you put into stocks, why not just purchase SPY (or another equivalent index fund)? I don't think I will ever purchase an individual stock again. I am curious why others don't follow this method.
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02-21-2013, 07:37 PM
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#2
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: Hooverville
Posts: 22,983
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Future beach bum
I spent my whole life investing in various stocks, thinking I was smarter than the others and could outperform the market. I did ok, but some of the success could have just been luck. I now only trade in stock indexes, as I hated the insider information and manipulation that would occur with individual stocks. I don't believe that is possible with a large index fund such as SPY. So in your AA, whatever portion you put into stocks, why not just purchase SPY (or another equivalent index fund)? I don't think I will ever purchase an individual stock again. I am curious why others don't follow this method.
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Yours may be a very controversial post. Very few people here are index investors, mostly we do options and commodities.
Ha
__________________
"As a general rule, the more dangerous or inappropriate a conversation, the more interesting it is."-Scott Adams
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02-21-2013, 07:41 PM
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#3
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Mar 2009
Posts: 2,960
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As an Indexer I hope more people continue to try to beat the market. Being average is great for me in this case.
__________________
Took SS at 62 and hope I live long enough to regret the decision.
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02-21-2013, 07:51 PM
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#4
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gone traveling
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 329
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Perhaps. But I do enjoy the thrill of investing in individual stocks as well. I go for only blue chips though. 50% in indexed, the other half in hand picked stock
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02-21-2013, 08:18 PM
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#5
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Jan 2013
Posts: 178
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I pick individual stocks and I would be better off with the S&P 500...but i do it for the thrill...it's my form of gambling because though I know the house always win.
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02-21-2013, 08:30 PM
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#6
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Indialantic FL
Posts: 1,330
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I think index funds play a major part in portfolio planning. I think actively managed funds and or individual security selection do as well. So, I'm firmly on both sides of the fence. Core is index funds.
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JimnJana
"The four most dangerous words in investing are 'This time it's different.'" - Sir John Templeton
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02-21-2013, 08:33 PM
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#7
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 4,867
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The only controversy here should be whether the S&P500 is a broad enough index.
__________________
“So we beat on, boats against the current, borne back ceaselessly into the past.”
Current AA: 75% Equity Funds / 15% Bonds / 5% Stable Value /2% Cash / 3% TIAA Traditional
Retired Mar 2014 at age 52, target WR: 0.0%,
Income from pension and rent
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02-21-2013, 08:36 PM
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#8
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Chicago
Posts: 13,043
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Future beach bum
I spent my whole life investing in various stocks, thinking I was smarter than the others and could outperform the market. I did ok, but some of the success could have just been luck. I now only trade in stock indexes, as I hated the insider information and manipulation that would occur with individual stocks. I don't believe that is possible with a large index fund such as SPY. So in your AA, whatever portion you put into stocks, why not just purchase SPY (or another equivalent index fund)? I don't think I will ever purchase an individual stock again. I am curious why others don't follow this method.
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Whatever you're doing now, well..... that's what you're doing. Enjoy!
__________________
"I wasn't born blue blood. I was born blue-collar." John Wort Hannam
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02-21-2013, 11:17 PM
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#9
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jun 2010
Posts: 2,301
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Future beach bum
thinking I was smarter than the others and could outperform the market.
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Who thinks they are "dumber" than other investors?
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02-22-2013, 07:47 AM
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#10
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 1,934
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__________________
And if I claim to be a wise man, it surely means that I don't know.
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02-22-2013, 09:54 AM
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#11
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: NC
Posts: 20,654
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Quote:
Originally Posted by haha
[SARCASM]Yours may be a very controversial post. Very few people here are index investors, mostly we do options and commodities.[/SARCASM]
Ha
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FIFY (he/she is a newbie...)
__________________
No one agrees with other people's opinions; they merely agree with their own opinions -- expressed by somebody else. Sydney Tremayne
Retired Jun 2011 at age 57
Target AA: 50% equity funds / 45% bonds / 5% cash
Target WR: Approx 1.5% Approx 20% SI (secure income, SS only)
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02-22-2013, 10:09 AM
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#12
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 4,366
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Indexing is fine, but look much wider than SPY. Value, small, international, EM are good too.
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02-22-2013, 10:14 AM
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#13
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Jan 2013
Posts: 194
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I found I made more money picking the correct AA, than I did picking stocks.
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02-22-2013, 10:48 AM
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#14
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Mar 2011
Posts: 8,120
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I dunno. After all is said and done, my carefully chosen/monitored set of stocks and AA pretty much runs in line with the indexes, with a little bond mitigation thrown in.
Which is pretty much the observation of the OP.
__________________
Living well is the best revenge!
Retired @ 52 in 2005
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02-22-2013, 10:59 AM
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#15
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Sep 2011
Location: PWC VA
Posts: 144
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Your stock may match index funds today, but try to do it for 30 years. Even Peter Lynch gave up. Follow a LazyTraders slice and dice 6 fund portfolio and you will sleep well, stop watching the market, and beat most every stock picker out there. However to the OP's question, SPY is a fairly narrow index fund, mostly just US large cap, instead use a very low cost Total stock market, Total International, Emerging Markets, Total Bond, Small Cap and an FTSE all World except US. That gives you diversification. Maybe add some TIPS for inflation protection.
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02-22-2013, 11:06 AM
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#16
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: May 2011
Location: South Eastern USA
Posts: 1,065
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Onward
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+1
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02-22-2013, 11:22 AM
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#17
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Confused about dryer sheets
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 7
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Thanks for your replies (I appreciate the humorous ones too). What I got out of the replies is that some still like the thrill (individual stocks are more of a crapshoot), which I admit I will miss. But I am not trying to make a nest egg (I am done) but rather get a reasonable return and avoid having to follow individual stocks. It seems to me there would be more commission expense, but with discount brokers that is not a significant issue.
I do agree I should diversify more, SPY was just a general example of an index fund. I really just want to invest in a few index funds to diversify, and then just rebalance once a year.
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02-22-2013, 11:39 AM
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#18
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Jan 2012
Location: Colorado
Posts: 254
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Future beach bum
I do agree I should diversify more, SPY was just a general example of an index fund. I really just want to invest in a few index funds to diversify, and then just rebalance once a year.
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Google "three fund portfolio".
__________________
Don't you know that dynamite always blows down ? --- Moe to Curly
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02-22-2013, 01:44 PM
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#19
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 9,331
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Quote:
Originally Posted by photoguy
Who thinks they are "dumber" than other investors?
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Based on my past, I couldn't look myself in the mirror, if I didn't admit I am dumber. But since, I did a better job saving this past year than I had planned, I allowed myself the opportunity to fail again and invest/gamble10k in a stock. Bought 200 shares of Intel, last week and it promptly went down 75 cents. Bought another 200 at session low yesterday, and now I am back to even almost already. Maybe I can figure out away to buy this stock all the way down to zero and still break even.  My "serious money" is in IBonds, CDs, Total Market, and STAR.
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02-22-2013, 08:40 PM
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#20
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Moderator Emeritus
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Portland
Posts: 4,945
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Quote:
Originally Posted by haha
Yours may be a very controversial post. Very few people here are index investors, mostly we do options and commodities.
Ha
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Awww! Now I gotta get all this coffee off the keyboard and out of my sinuses.
I know I'm a dumb investor. Lazy, too. I just set up an asset allocation between stock funds and bond funds (55%/45%) Then I guessed at a weighting between the total US market, and total international market (70%/30%). For bonds, I just went with an intermediate term US fund, and a Treasury Inflation Protected Securities fund, split 50/50.
Once a year I check to see if things have gotten too far out of whack (pick a number, e.g. more than +- 25% from where I want them), and rebalance if needed. I did that last week, first time since the Great Rebalance of 2009. The rest of the time I can play with the cats, tinker with cars or radios, or annoy people on the Internet.
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