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04-03-2020, 04:45 PM
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#21
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 1,600
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Quote:
Originally Posted by OldShooter
It is no surprise to me that publicly available information is a little raggedy-andy and even inconsistent. With respect, that is data mostly for tourists and I would submit that entertaining tourists should not be a particularly high priority.
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There are a couple of possible meanings for "tourist": (1) someone intending to travel or currently travelling, or (2) a powerless bystander / observer / rubber-necker. I assume that your intended meaning is (2). Regardless, I agree that getting high quality data into the hands of empowered decision makers is top priority. However, my point is that it would be more useful for me to know that local hospitals are using 30% of capacity with 25% of that capacity allocated to COVID-19 cases (e.g.) rather than merely knowing that X number of local people have tested positive and Y people have died.
Thanks for the info on the FEMA ICS. I've never heard of it.
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04-03-2020, 05:18 PM
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#22
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Mar 2017
Location: City
Posts: 10,351
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Quote:
Originally Posted by socca
... However, my point is that it would be more useful for me to know that local hospitals are using 30% of capacity with 25% of that capacity allocated to COVID-19 cases (e.g.) rather than merely knowing that X number of local people have tested positive and Y people have died. ...
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Nothing wrong with that, and I think it is the extremely rare case where that kind of information is not willingly released as it becomes available. But just be patient. My objective was just to point out that behind the scenes in any of these situations is closer to complete chaos than it is to a well-trained marching band. Hence triage to prioritize the work is critical. One of the ICS positions is PAO, Public Affairs Officer, often reporting directly to the Incident Commander. This is an important position. His/her job is to inform to the extent information is available while simultaneously protecting the rest of the staff from the reporters and the gawkers.
I just laughed at the recent headline where some governor was bitching because the "Federal Government" sent some respirators that didn't work. The culprit was probably some guy in Logistics who was working double shifts, had missed dinner, and was trying desperately to deal with requisitions falling on him like a hailstorm.
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04-03-2020, 06:01 PM
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#23
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Jun 2018
Location: Spring
Posts: 306
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I go to get the cdc C19 newsletter, listen to npr, bbc, watch nbc & pbs mainly.
__________________
In the business of isness >^..^<
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04-22-2020, 06:10 PM
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#24
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: Coronado
Posts: 3,706
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For those who are interested in data science and modeling, here's an interesting podcast: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...l-of-covid-19/
This is Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight discussing modeling with Dr. Chris Murray who manages the team that creates the IHME COVID-19 models. They talk about why they were created, how they've changed, and how they're being used. It's about as nerdy as you can get, but it's a good look at the process.
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06-09-2020, 10:05 PM
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#25
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Boise
Posts: 7,882
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(Thanks to the mods for reopening this thread for me to post this update.)
I was using https://covid19.healthdata.org/unite...-america/idaho to look at projections for my state. It was eerily accurate for a while, but now it claims deaths that haven't occurred yet.
As of right now, my state's official site says 85 deaths:
https://coronavirus.idaho.gov/
The last actual datapoint at:
https://covid19.healthdata.org/unite...-america/idaho
Is for 91 deaths on June 6th, three days ago.
I just thought some people might find the discrepancy interesting.
__________________
"At times the world can seem an unfriendly and sinister place, but believe us when we say there is much more good in it than bad. All you have to do is look hard enough, and what might seem to be a series of unfortunate events, may in fact be the first steps of a journey." Violet Baudelaire.
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