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03-15-2020, 10:30 AM
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#1
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Chattanooga
Posts: 3,764
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Dqotd
With all of the uncertainty wouldn't it be prudent to just shutdown the markets until the medical community gets its arms around the situation ?
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Earning money is an action, saving money is a behavior, growing money takes a well diversified portfolio and the discipline to ignore market swings.
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03-15-2020, 10:42 AM
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#2
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Northern IL
Posts: 26,500
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Don't like it. I think that just adds to the uncertainty. And might feed the doom-and-gloomers (OMG, it must be REALLY BAD if they shut the markets, this is historic! Oh-Noes!) .
And what about people who might need to sell from time-to-time to fund their living expenses? They would be hurt.
Nope. Don't like. No hows, no ways. Let it play out.
I noticed a sig on this forum the other day, a Peter Lynch quote? Something like ' more damage has been done preparing for downturns than the downturn itself has caused? Something like that?
OK, found one ref here:
https://seekingalpha.com/article/399...om-peter-lynch
Quote:
"Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections or trying to anticipate corrections than has been lost in corrections themselves." - Peter Lynch
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-ERD50
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03-15-2020, 12:18 PM
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#3
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Mar 2017
Location: City
Posts: 9,950
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Doesn't matter whether it is a good idea or not. There is too much money involved in the investment industry = lots of people would fight such an idea. Illiquidity for legitimate needs, lost salaries due to layoffs, inability to hedge by real commodity creators and consumers, ... Plus, as @ERD50 points out, certain investor psychology impacts but of what kind?
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03-15-2020, 12:28 PM
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#4
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Mar 2014
Location: Apex and Bradenton
Posts: 1,454
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In the "Money talks, and BS walks" spectrum, me thinks this topic would be placed on the BS side of center.
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03-15-2020, 12:30 PM
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#5
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: Cville
Posts: 1,552
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What would you gain by shutting markets ? CBOE has moved to all electronic for a period of time, Several markets are all electronic also. With these there is no gathering of people greater than X. I could see those with a floor trading move more or all to electronic as good in that it could reduce chance of transmission. I think closures should be carefully considered and implemented only when a clear advantage. In this case potentially limiting the virus transmission. Just me $0.02
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FIRE 31 Aug, 2018 - Always leave every place better than you found it, always give more than expected or Due
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03-15-2020, 12:58 PM
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#6
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Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: Jul 2013
Posts: 953
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Shutting down the markets seems to me to be similar to the 'Whip Inflation Now' approach. You can't quarantine water that is trying to reach it's appropriate level. I think that the market circuit breakers did allow things to settle a bit. Eventually, some of the emotional panic selling will settle, and a new normal will be established. It will be interesting when the quarterly reports come in- some retailers will be bonkers because of panic buying, followed by low sales because everyone has enough TP for a year. Others will be down, but counting on pent-up demand to recover.
Dumb comment that I heard yesterday- I need to stock up on toilet paper because it is all made in China!
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