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Evidence warmer temperatures slows coronavirus?
03-18-2020, 08:53 AM
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#1
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Join Date: Jun 2002
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Evidence warmer temperatures slows coronavirus?
Chart shows the coronavirus spreading slowly in tropical countries
Quote:
One common refrain is that many of these tropical countries are less developed, particularly in regards to their health-care systems.
“However, with the outbreak running for more than 3 months, one might expect that there should have been anecdotal data by now relating to a growing number of fatalities from a respiratory-type illness,” said Simon Powell, equity strategist at Jefferies.
A research paper came up with a similar finding. Looking at 100 Chinese cities, it found that high temperature and high relative humidity significantly reduce the transmission of COVID-19.
“This result is consistent with the fact that the high temperature and high humidity significantly reduce the transmission of influenza. It indicates that the arrival of summer and rainy season in the northern hemisphere can effectively reduce the transmission of the COVID-19,” the study found.
Scientists are not yet sold there’s a link.
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03-18-2020, 08:55 AM
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#2
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Time to move to FL
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03-18-2020, 09:43 AM
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#3
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03-18-2020, 10:00 AM
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#4
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SARS was a Corona virus. It petered out by end of June. I'm still expecting the same.
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03-18-2020, 10:11 AM
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#5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GravitySucks
SARS was a Corona virus. It petered out by end of June. I'm still expecting the same.
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But will it come back. My understanding this virus is mutating. Read there are 2 strains now. One called SARS-Covid-2, I think, I should have paid better attention in science class.
https://qz.com/1820422/coronavirus-w...me-sars-cov-2/
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03-18-2020, 10:17 AM
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#6
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The Southern Hemisphere is entering fall and winter. So, it won't be warm everywhere.
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03-18-2020, 10:17 AM
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#7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JoeWras
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I dunno. Considering that FL is full of geezers who dance cheek-to-cheek in The Villages as they say, that number is not that bad. Plus it's not too hot there yet. Gotta give it another month.
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03-18-2020, 10:20 AM
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#8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JoeWras
The Southern Hemisphere is entering fall and winter. So, it won't be warm everywhere.
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Travel industry will bounce back, when snowbirds have to travel a lot further to look for safety.
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"Those Who Can Make You Believe Absurdities Can Make You Commit Atrocities" - Voltaire (1694-1778)
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03-18-2020, 10:26 AM
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#9
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It's in the mid-80's every day in most of Florida and cases are increasing rapidly so I doubt it matters.
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03-19-2020, 06:56 AM
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#10
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According to this map Florida may be a hot zone of virus. This is from the temperature tracking thermometer company that was able to beat the CDC by weeks on flu hot spots.
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03-19-2020, 07:07 AM
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#11
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The amount of direct ultra violet light is higher where the climate is warmer. From my understanding, the sunlight is what impedes the virus, so the warmer the climate, the more direct sunshine. Northern locations will receive the same benefit as the spring changes to summer. A science teacher here in Florida explained it that way to me. Who knows if he is right!!
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03-19-2020, 09:24 AM
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#12
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Quote:
Originally Posted by donheff
According to this map Florida may be a hot zone of virus. This is from the temperature tracking thermometer company that was able to beat the CDC by weeks on flu hot spots.
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I have not seen a detailed report on the demographics of Covid-19 patients in Florida. I wonder if the higher rate of infection has anything to do with the socializing activities of seniors there. That alone can trump any temperature effect.
PS. Here in Arizona, where we have some recent cases, not much has been given out regarding the circumstances. I think they do that to prevent the frenzy that happened when the info about the very 1st case in the state was released. There were demos and protests and all the drama.
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"Those Who Can Make You Believe Absurdities Can Make You Commit Atrocities" - Voltaire (1694-1778)
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03-19-2020, 09:25 AM
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#13
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This article explains why the regular flu is more prevalent in winter. I would assume that these factors also apply to COVID 19, but I don't know for sure. Of interest to me, it also explains the derivation of the word "flu".
The Reason for the Season: why flu strikes in winter - Science in the News
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03-19-2020, 09:28 AM
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#14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GravitySucks
SARS was a Corona virus. It petered out by end of June. I'm still expecting the same.
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That sure would be nice, even if it does come back later.
It’s been early warm and humid around here.
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03-19-2020, 09:36 AM
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#15
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Quote:
Originally Posted by audreyh1
That sure would be nice, even if it does come back later.
It’s been early warm and humid around here.
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Same here.
Currently, there is a cluster of cases in FLA around Miami and Ft Lauderdale.
We heard that one town Pembroke Pines is effectively on lockdown.
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03-19-2020, 09:38 AM
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#16
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rianne
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I won't comment about your aptitude in science class, but I would like to quote a bit of the article. For those who have followed closely, this will be no surprise:
Quote:
To be clear, Covid-19 refers to the disease. The virus that causes the disease is SARS-CoV-2
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So that's not 2 strains. The article doesn't use the word "strain".
There are 4 or 5 strains, based on reporting by Peter Attia (who is an MD clinician with a staff of researchers concentrating on this pandemic). I've been keeping up on reports from this source as my primary evidence-based consolidator. To date, there has been no reports (not even hints) that higher temperatures will affect the spread. I hope they're missing it, of course. That would be a nice surprise.
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03-19-2020, 09:42 AM
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#17
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dtail
Same here.
Currently, there is a cluster of cases in FLA around Miami and Ft Lauderdale.
We heard that one town Pembroke Pines is effectively on lockdown.
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I don't believe P-Pines is any different than the rest of Miami/Broward right now. I'm an hour from there, and have friends there not reporting anything different than we have in Boca. Across the SE-Fla area though: schools, parks, beaches, some malls, many retail outlets, closed or closing.
But lockdown implies officials staying do not leave your home - and that hasn't been reported.
ETA: Until the past week, it hasn't been particularly warm in SE-Fla. We've had cooler temps off and on that went well into the early part of March. Of course, by cooler, it means maybe 50 overnight - nothing lower than that since earlier in Feb iirc.
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03-19-2020, 09:48 AM
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#18
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There is no evidence of anything yet with this new virus. It's brand new so it hasn't been studied and understood yet.
It's said (rumored?) that it can hang in the air for 20 minutes (another said hours) after somebody sneezes and survive on surfaces for days (one article said 9 days) which is much longer than other coronas.
Personally I doubt that warm weather will do anything to it... its not like Australia (opposite season of the US) is better off.
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03-19-2020, 09:52 AM
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#19
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Gumby
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The article talks about an experiment with temperatures of 41F, 68F, and 86F. However, there is no chart for the 86F case.
And it would be difficult to find guinea pigs that can survive 110F, but that's what we will have here in the SW in a few months.
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"Old age is the most unexpected of all things that happen to a man" -- Leon Trotsky (1879-1940)
"Those Who Can Make You Believe Absurdities Can Make You Commit Atrocities" - Voltaire (1694-1778)
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03-19-2020, 10:00 AM
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#20
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NW-Bound
The article talks about an experiment with temperatures of 41F, 68F, and 86F. However, there is no chart for the 86F case.
And it would be difficult to find guinea pigs that can survive 110F, but that's what we will have here in the SW in a few months.
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As I understood the charts and explanation, it was the humidity level that was key, rather than temperature. It would have been nice to see that borne out by a chart for the 86F experiment.
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