ncbill
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Most margin loans will get a margin call when the loan balance is about 50% of your nest egg. Lenders are not stupid. Suppose you originally have $1M nest egg and you borrow $250K on a margin loan as living expenses over the years. Let’s assume a 50% crash occur and your $1M nest egg becomes $500K. Therefore this will trigger a margin call which you are forced to payoff the margin call and now your $500K nest egg becomes $250K. The market then recovers and your $250K nest egg is now $500K.
On the other hand…. If a investor drawdown his $1M by $250K for living expenses the traditional way….the nest egg is now $750K. The 50% crash occur and his $750K nest egg is now $375K. The market recovers so the $375K nest egg returns to $750K . This is more than the $500K example above. This is because a margin call will effect your investment recovery after a crash.
I personally like $750K better than $500K in this situation of a 50% crash.
You seem to be assuming 100% equities.
You can borrow on margin against other securities like bonds as well, not just equities.
And is a abrupt, 50% crash in equities really a plausible scenario?
IIRC, that's worse than even the Great Recession.