Recent content by AAFGJE

There are two reasons I want to use monte carlo. (1) I think historical US results (especially post-WWII) are a historical anomaly. I don't trust that historical results will hold up; I believe that over my lifetime, the likely return in the market is closer to 4-5% above inflation than 6-8%. I...

Interesting. So if fire calc says I have a 98% chance of success in 2027, that means that Firecalc assumes I will contribute for the remainder of 2024, all of 2025, and all of 2026? Do you have any suggestions for monte carlo simulation tools that work better than Firecalc?

Hello, I have been using firecalc for a while. I appreciate the tool. I have two questions. (1) When I use the monte carlo portfolio simulation tool (average and standard deviation return) my returns vary wildly from simulation to simulation. How many iterations of the simulation does that...