Recent content by TheHobbit

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    I've sold all my Boeing shares

    Go look at the history of the Detroit automakers. The way this plays out if it gets that bad, is shareholders almost always get wiped out completely -- especially when the government needs to step in and save them. With the stroke of a Judge's pen, you'll get something like a new company...
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    1.9% instead of 4% the new safe withdrawal rate?

    Yes I do. I don’t own a dime of international. I’m quite well traveled… I have good reasons for my position. There’s nothing “perpetual” about it, it’s call survivorship bias, the market constant prunes out failing companies making way for better ones. It’s a thing.
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    Market Sentiment - Recession Length

    "to slightly higher than pre-pandemic levels" -- This is noise. You can't conclude anything from this.
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    Market Sentiment - Recession Length

    Short (6 months) or no recession, is my call. Just like the pandemic recession, this is just too grossly telegraphed, for it to be anything of consequence. Deep downturns are deep because people/governments don’t expect them, and thus didn’t prepare or react. All we will get here is another...
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    Here's how young Chinese go into ER: "Let it rot"

    This. They have learned the lessons of their parents generation: the concept of loyalty doesn't exist for corporations, so they take a similar approach. Don’t pay me market rate? Another company offers more? They will be gone. They have their own backs, and don’t apologize to anyone for this.
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    The Super Rich and Taxes

    Easy solution: 1. Abolish deductions for charity. 2. Abolish non-taxable status for charities and religious institutions. Pay your own way for your pet projects/beliefs. 3. Tax capitals gains — including homes, and any taxable accounts. All capital gains should be taxed right? 4. Refundable...
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    Canada bans foreign homebuyers for two years to cool market

    This is political theater. The international student carve exemption is the big tell. Typically rich families send their kids over and they buy the homes — this can still be done. Allowing this is absurd. Why and how do “students” need multimillion dollar homes exactly? For a student, what...
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    Am I crazy for wanting cosmetic surgery?

    +1, she is caving to her primitive instincts, which is in turn going to work against her by dramatically limiting her pool of potential partners. Not a good strategy IMO. Never mind physical attraction tends not to be the thing which keeps partners together for long periods of time… maybe...
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    Am I crazy for wanting cosmetic surgery?

    Even dating, you need to find a single partner. Maybe two if one passes before you or you suffer a divorce. Given modern dating technologies, it’s never been easier to find a partner who is almost certainly already aware of your various physical attributes prior to even meeting. OP already...
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    Am I crazy for wanting cosmetic surgery?

    I’d look at this through the lens of mental health. If you are depressed because of your height, then maybe consider it. For what it’s worth though… 99% of this is probably in your own head: I’ve never once thought anything negative towards a person’s height — nobody cares, people have too...
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    SS Could Be Insolvent in 8 Years

    Laughable. Won’t happen: it’s political suicide.
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    Way too much of NW in employer stock

    There’s no real tricks here. The only modest tip I can give is sell in January, and this way you will have the entire fiscal year to benefit from a large market correction once you own the index funds. The best case scenario is something like this: 1.January - Sell company stock… say its $1m...
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    I have no idea where to retire!

    Why choose? I’m doing Hawaii and a place on the mainland. If I find I don’t get island fever, then I’ll jettison the mainland place eventually — perhaps get a 2nd place on a different island or upgrade to a larger residence.
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    And you thought you had it all

    I'll have to save this pic to show my GF. I don't think she can say I go overboard when packing for trips anymore after seeing this. :D
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    Lesson to myself re- Market Timing and Activity.

    Except that Dogecoin isn’t really investing. It’s more like knowingly participating in Bernie Madoff’s fund and playing chicken with your fellow holders of the fund. If you aren’t one of the last ones out you do amazing, otherwise …. probably won’t end well. Ultimately indexers make waaaay...
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