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Take care, none of them is to buy yet Hi, My favorite REITs CE income funds (with their current yields) are RIT (14,7%), IGR (9,8%), JRS (12,9%), NRO (19,4%). I will NOT buy basically until (ROC(MM200) > 0 and Close > MM200). Doing this avoids to have an opinion and let you stick with a...

Stick with your plan I think this time is no different. You need a plan and need to stick with it. I had decided more than a year ago that I would go for listed commercial real estate at the end of this great market cycle, when this bear episode will be finished. I'm now up to 32% in cash, as I...

Fortunately I've made enough money with TA to ER and keep my pile growing with fun. Good that Sir 2B knows all what works and doesn not. It is so comforting. BTW, thanks for providing such a timely confirmation of what I started with, you can't help people...

Well, I do not worry about the markets, I just enjoy the playground. The better you get the better you play the more fun you have. Sometimes you are frustrated as you did not play well the game (as for any game), but in the end it is something you like and you would miss if not in (short &/or...

You know, nobody never ever takes advantage of your own experience and everybody needs to pay to make its own. When you see people catching falling knives and you try to deter them from doing so, they claim that for whatever reason they know what they do and they are confident that they'll make...

OK then (I just hinted that rolling 5 years bonds over a 30 years period is identical to holding a 30y bond in the end or not very different), why not: 1) reducing market expo while cash is king ; 2) load on lightly on an a bear index fund ; 3) make some shorts ? Holding fixed bonds if you...

I 100% agree with what haha and terminator have said. It looks like a good stock with respect to its fundamentals (I like the 33%ROE 1 PEG and 6,11 EV/EBITDA). But it is still -4,4% cheaper now that it was yesterday. Next support is 15$ (and will probably go through before you read this...

I also loose on the Yen as I am in the Euro zone (FR) and the Yen has also gone down against the Euro.... So I have two bear markets compounding there, the N225 and the Yen/Euro... Beuh...

They don't change in facial value but change in real value as 100 bucks ten years later is certainly not worth the 100$ of ten years before (rate power minus number-of-years to compute the present value of 100$ given back in ten years). So the big bet is inflation and studies show that long...

A friend of mine who's been living (and working before ER @ 50) for a decade in HK thinks that things will settle down a bit after the Olympics are finished but that the momentum will remain. He's more invested in India (35%) than China (15%) and has 10% in europe and 0% in the US...

I'm afraid that small value start a bear trend (at least I see it on the chart) and I would be very cautious. Would small growth have done the same I would already have sold my entire US small caps. I've already sold most of my european small caps (early bear market) and Japan (early bear as...

TA is very... technical ! so running the same TA system will always provide the same signals and same results (and can be backtested). So it not as reading tea leaves :-) much less emotional :-) much more formal. I've bought some RIT yielding 15% (which is a mere TA non-sense and keep blaming...

I've been timing the market for more than a decade now. I know that it is not a very welcome idea on this forum and everyone does whatever he/she wishes with his/her money, so there is no judgement with respect to what other people think or do here or anywhere else. But if I have any regret for...

I sincerely hope you'll make money. I does not take anything away from me :-) As far as MCD is concerned I would have done the last short on the 31/10/2002 @ 18,40, covered @ 15,2 on 31/03/03 then gone long on 7/07/03 @ 21,76. On USB I would be short since the 27/12/2007 @ 32,20 and remain. On...

My understanding of a good investment is one that goes up when I'm LONG or one that goes down when I'm SHORT. It seems that you decided to go LONG on a stock that goes south ? You might succeed (which I hope for you as I'm not SHORT at the same time ;-) but my humble feeling is that it is not...

Shorting Google ? GOOG would certainly be the last one I would go short on. C since suggested by Running_Man has lost 21%. That was a good short and probably still is ! It was much easier to make 700% on GOOG going long than it will probably ever be to make 25% going short on it... Remember...

Nords, you talk of US small-caps I guess ? I mentioned european small & mid caps. So far I've kept my US small and mid caps.

From what I know and what I've seen you are 100% correct. Furthermore you cannot get rid of that citizenship. I've read unbelievable stories about that, including the case of an American who had established himself in Japan and was persecuted by the administration because he wanted to give up...

If you were a shop worker perhaps you would find that positive for some time (they only have 4/5 weeks off) until companies move abroad and you have no longer a job & then the country is stiffling with high social costs & runs into heavy debt & goes bankrupt, but if you are say an engineer or a...

Things are fine Nords Everything's fine Nords, good to spend some time with you again. Things have been pretty hectic, my elder daughter has left France and works in DC after earning her MBA @ URI, I'm building a new 26 inches cassegrain scope, I've observed double stars and computed new...

Schengen space The idea behind Schengen is that we've tried to let people travel through states having "roughly" the same GNP / habitant (it's obviously a bit more sophisticated but putting things in simple terms). Of course some new Schengen space members show some GDP discripancies but they...

BCS over 20 years lies in a channel when displayed with a semilog scale. This demonstrates (among other things) that apart from accidents the company is well managed and matches the 3 1st Buffet's primary principles. The low band is somewhere @ 30$. But I would not buy @ 30$, would wait if I...

Ald & Acas ACAS looks cheaper to me than ALD with better operational margins. But both go SOUTH so far, no need to buy yet :-) They'll be good div payers and good picks when they'll go NORTH. Wait and see, ACAS is on my radar screen now. Thanks.

2008 adjustments I've sold off today 90% of my small & mid european caps, guess the ride which started in July 2003 is over. The CAC40 has also already started to take the dive, though still the first to do so as DAX30, FTSE 100 are not yet bear, so I'll wait a bit on large caps to see what's...

Such a good SHORT so far :-)