2025 Investment Performance Thread

[frayne]

I'm not looking anymore.

 

[Al18]

SP500 is currently down 7% from its high. I think we’ll be in a correction (10% down) in the next few days

 

[street]

Oh, no! Now I’ve gone negative YTD!

I haven't checked but if not negative territory I'm close. The DJIA is 35 points more today than on January 1st, 2025, which was 42544 and today closed @ 42579.

 

[Dtail]

Oh, no! Now I’ve gone negative YTD!

Me too. Those damn globalists.

 

[audreyh1]

OK I looked. -0.01% YTD, haha

 

[target2019]

14 April is right around the corner.

It's been a privilege...

 

[copyright1997reloaded]

One would think looking at the last few posts that we've never had a 6% SPY drawdown before.

ETA: I'm off 1.4% from my peak WEEKLY close (no idea of actual day/hour/instanteous peak).

 

[Fermion]

One would think looking at the last few posts that we've never had a 6% SPY drawdown before.

Yes but it has been climbing so consistently recently that there were those on here who were debating to travel first class or just go ahead and buy their own jet.

 

[joesxm3]

I was getting ready to BTD and trade in my 2 year old Tesla But I would have been much better off trading in some of my two year old $TSLA.

I am down 5.67% YTD with my skewed 33% equity portfolio that seems to track a 100% SP500 portfolio.

Live by the sword, die by the sword I guess. But by a crude calculation I seem to have had a 9% average annual return since 1/1/2022.

I just did a rough scenario where $TSLA goes down to $120 and $PLTR to $20 (fair value if you listen to the haters) and I would still be ahead compared to what I had in 2016 when I retired (in nominal terms) so I guess I can't complain.

 

[audreyh1]

What are you trading in your Tesla for, a HW4 model?

 

[joesxm3]

If I do trade in it would be for the new model Y once the launch configuration is finished and I can get the normal trim for a lower price.

But FSD 12.6.4 has been doing pretty well lately so I might keep mine. I got rerouted onto large city streets yesterday and it recognized speed bumps and negotiated 4 way stops with multiple cars well and even a pedestrian. It did seem confused by a road closed detour sign but I did not give it enough time to think about it before I took over.

 

[copyright1997reloaded]

I was getting ready to BTD and trade in my 2 year old Tesla But I would have been much better off trading in some of my two year old $TSLA.

I am down 5.67% YTD with my skewed 33% equity portfolio that seems to track a 100% SP500 portfolio.

Live by the sword, die by the sword I guess. But by a crude calculation I seem to have had a 9% average annual return since 1/1/2022.

I just did a rough scenario where $TSLA goes down to $120 and $PLTR to $20 (fair value if you listen to the haters) and I would still be ahead compared to what I had in 2016 when I retired (in nominal terms) so I guess I can't complain.

TSLA is still up 47% over a one year period. I had some, sold it (before the post election run up), have a single share just for tracking purposes.

In other news, I owned $PLTR at an $11.64 cost basis...and sold it at $12.79. Ugh.

 

[audreyh1]

But FSD 12.6.4 has been doing pretty well lately so I might keep mine. I got rerouted onto large city streets yesterday and it recognized speed bumps and negotiated 4 way stops with multiple cars well and even a pedestrian. It did seem confused by a road closed detour sign but I did not give it enough time to think about it before I took over.

Oh, I’ll have to see if ours handles speed bumps better now. Overall 12.6.4 has been driving very well.

 

[joesxm3]

TSLA is still up 47% over a one year period. I had some, sold it (before the post election run up), have a single share just for tracking purposes.

In other news, I owned $PLTR at an $11.64 cost basis...and sold it at $12.79. Ugh.

I share your pain. I sold a third of my PLTR at $40 and the only shares I got rid of over $100 were donated to my charitable gift fund.

Same thing with JDS Union are back in the dot com bubble. $12 basis and shares donated at $120 but the rest road all the way back down. At least they went to a good cause.

 

[joesxm3]

Oh, I’ll have to see if ours handles speed bumps better now. Overall 12.6.4 has been driving very well.

I had never seen a speed bump being a country boy. These had some sort of arrows or chevrons painted before them but I did not know what it meant. I would have hit pretty hard if I were driving.

Last night while dark driving home from church in my Acura I was actually a little scared. Funny how the roles reversed between FSD in 2023 and now.

 

[audreyh1]

Ouch!!

 

[Markola]

In no way am I trying to defend/criticize Washington executive leaders, but I heard analysis today that made sense to me, in two ways:

1) Intentionally nuking the stock market with tariffs can bring down interest rates;

2) Nuking interest rates lets the US refinance $10 trillion in bonds due over the next couple of months at more favorable rates.

I’m just trying to make sense of this, nothing more.

 

[dixonge]

I rolled 2 accounts over from IVV to TSLA back in mid-December.

Probably not my brightest move, but oh well. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Also bought a small amount of Bitcoin around the same time.

In other news, I'm starting a Stock Timing newsletter! Details soon...

 

[street]

Just going to have to hunker down boys and girls till the storm blows over!!

 

[jimbee]

Winning!

 

[target2019]

Transitioning.

 

[Franklin]

OK I'll admit! After today I am down for the year. Through 3/10/25 Ive gone in the red. First time thats happened in a while. Looking for bargins now in hope of recovering.

 

[neihn]

I finally got some $JEPQ at 52 today.

 

[Dtail]

In no way am I trying to defend/criticize Washington executive leaders, but I heard analysis today that made sense to me, in two ways:

1) Intentionally nuking the stock market with tariffs can bring down interest rates;

2) Nuking interest rates lets the US refinance $10 trillion in bonds due over the next couple of months at more favorable rates.

I’m just trying to make sense of this, nothing more.

That's a good one. Right along with tariffs only being a one time hit to inflation on the other side of this coin.

 

[Dtail]

View attachment 54649

Ouch!!

We have already been told not to look at the stock market.