A proposal to slowly solve the growing national deficit

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Semi-Retyrd

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I think most people would agree that the current growth in the US national debt is unsustainable. IMO it is ok for the national debt to grow at less then the GDP so that as a percentage of GDP, it gets smaller each year. However this has not been the case in recent years. The only two ways to reduce the annual deficit are a) to cut spending or b) to increase revenue. Since the largest sources of spending are entitlements like Social Security and Medicare followed by interest payments, I think there is not a lot of room to cut spending without increasing the poverty level or defaulting on our debt and ruining our credit rating. Most Americans are already being squeezed on health care.
At the same time the top 1% of Americans own some $54T of wealth - more than they will ever spend in their lifetime.

Here are some considerations behind my proposal -

1) Any change should be modest so that the legislation is short and fairly easy to comprehend by the voting public.

2) Most Multi-Millionaires and Billionaires in the top 1% worked hard for their money and deserve to enjoy it in any way they feel like during their lifetime. They should be able to buy all the toys they want and dodge all the taxes they can dodge within our current income tax system during their lifetime.

3) Wealth taxes on an annual basis are too difficult to implement because appraising illiquid assets like paintings and yachts, and private businesses is a complicated, time consuming, and expensive process that is best only done once.

4) Our current taxation system does have one wealth tax - the estate tax that is levied only once after death for an estate worth more than $15M/person or $30M/married couple.

5) If the estate tax really worked, then my proposal would not be necessary. However, this tax only generates less than 2% of revenue currently collected by the US government. Why? Because there have been no changes to this tax for decades and it is now so full of loopholes, that it is is hopelessly out of date.

6) Consider the tax on lottery winners. Lottery winnings are considered ordinary income and taxed as such when collected. No one complains about this because just getting lucky is not considered a worthwhile reason to avoid taxes.

7) Now consider heirs. Most people collect little or nothing when their parents or other relatives die. The ones that do collect large amounts didn't work for it. They just got lucky in winning the birth lottery.

So based on the above considerations my proposal is to repeal the estate tax which clearly isn't working and replace it with an inheritance tax. My proposal would be each person would be entitled to a $2M lifetime exemption from the tax and any inheritance beyond this amount would be taxed as ordinary income in the same way as lottery winnings. If a person inherited an illiquid asset like a painting or a private business it would only need to be appraised and taxed once.
This idea solves the buy, borrow die means of tax avoidance and eliminates the step up in basis tax avoidance and allows all existing tax avoidance trusts to continue without requiring changes. However, whenever a trust pays the beneficiaries, the distributions would then be taxed as ordinary income.
Finally I would assume that very large estates would give most of their assets to charities to avoid tax. I would propose that charities also get a $2M exemption and that receipts beyond this would also be taxed but maybe at a lower rate like long term capital gains to give large donors an incentive to give to them instead of spoiling their kids.

If this proposal were implemented it could not only reduce the deficit but if a portion was reserved for Social security, it might make SS and Medicare solvent.

What do you think?
 
"The only two ways to reduce the annual deficit are a) to cut spending or b) to increase revenue."

You left out the 3rd choice that historically governments prefer and apparently has already been chosen: inflation.
 
It seems our government has a spending problem not a revenue problem.
There is little political will to resolve this issue. Until we have a balanced budget amendment to the constitution our debt is here to stay. Personally, I think a balanced budget amendment is overkill but our political representatives have no discipline.
The start to debt resolution is to term limit the House and Senate.
No new taxes, we pay enough already.
 
It seems our government has a spending problem not a revenue problem.
..........
No new taxes, we pay enough already.
If one believes the second statement then the first statement follows. Apart from the narrowest self-interest, though, in which none of us enjoy paying any tax, there is still considerable debate about the validity of that 2nd statement.
 
An inheritance tax will destroy family businesses and farms. They will be forced either to sell or take on crippling debt to pay the tax. They may have to sell at fire sale prices if there was a short timeline to pay the inheritance tax before penalties kick in.
Forcing the heirs of billionaires to sell large stakes of a company their deceased parent owned may seem like you’re not hurting the average person, but imagine Elon Musk’s heirs dumping billions of shares onto the market. The stock price will plummet affecting millions of shareholders’ retirement accounts.
The uber rich don’t leave their money sitting in cash while they figure out what to buy next. They invest their money into businesses that create jobs and spread the wealth throughout the economy.
The government would waste most of it.
 
Dunno if there is a way for OP to move this thread yourself or if only moderators can do it, but doesn't this belong in the "FIRE Related Public Policy" forum?
 
I really don’t think the Fed’s care.

I remember when national debt was 60 billion going back to the 60’s. “We’re going to bankrupt our children”. Well here we are.

If we’re too big to fail that would let us “make a deal” like every other country, discount debt take it or leave it.
 
I was watching a video where an economist said most people can't grasp how big the difference is between a million and billion and a trillion. He gave a visual that a million would fit in a brief case, one billion would fit in a semi truck and one trillion would be about a football stadium full of semi trucks. Not sure how accurate that is but I have looked at some images attempt to show the difference. He said politicians like to use words ending in ion because they know we average people fail to grasp the concept of how much money a trillion is. Me thinks it's game over trying to get out from 34 trillion and rising..... unfortunately.

Screenshot_2026-03-05-09-44-54-71_40deb401b9ffe8e1df2f1cc5ba480b12.jpg
 
Have you considered that it's likely you could implement your system and not make a minor dent in the debt problem because there are not enough rich people with enough money to make a difference?
 
I enjoy reading Scott Grannis' blog as he injects a long term view (though he only posts about once a month). In his latest post, he showed the cost of financing the debt. The rise from the COVID spendapalooza and the resulting inflation definitely created a sudden spike in the debt burden, but it's flattened out and the financing burden is much less than it was throughout the 80's through the mid 90's and we came through those OK.
Screenshot 2026-03-05 at 11.07.14 AM.png
 
Revenue is actually at an all-time high. The spending is the biggest problem. For example, the government spent 53% more in 2024 than it did in 2019. That is a growth rate of more than 10% a year.
 
Yep spending is out of control. It should be easy to cut the budget to pre Covid levels. Should be a balanced budget amendment. And hire consultants to find and eliminate waste, etc without bureaucracy interfering with the process.
 
It seems our government has a spending problem not a revenue problem.
Somewhere in the 90% range covers:
Debt payments
Defense
Medicare/Medicaid
Social Security

All that "spending" people talk about isn't exactly something that can easily be struck through. Ah yes, but "WFB!!!" in the above? Sure, some, but nowhere near enough to make a difference, and there are already programs in place to address that on an ongoing basis.

Meanwhile we keep cutting taxes.

Of course, it's always along partisan lines. One said says cut spending the other says raise taxes. Never changes.
 
Easy. Congress and Senate cannot serve another term if there is not a balanced budget passed every year of their term. No Omnibus type bills. Real budgets.

6 year term and year 3 no balanced budget passed, no second term.

2 year term and year 2 no balance budget passed, no second term.

Career politicians who then become career lobbyists. Not how the system was meant to work.

About as likely as a 1 trillion for $1 reverse split of the debt. Now the debt is $40 but if you had $1 million of Treasuries, well..now you don't have $1 million. :-(
 
Of course, it's always along partisan lines. One said says cut spending the other says raise taxes. Never changes.
My version below.

One says cut spending but increases spending, the other says raise taxes but increases spending. Never changes. Neither does what it says, both increase spending.
 
It seems our government has a spending problem not a revenue problem.
There is little political will to resolve this issue. Until we have a balanced budget amendment to the constitution our debt is here to stay. Personally, I think a balanced budget amendment is overkill but our political representatives have no discipline.
The start to debt resolution is to term limit the House and Senate.
No new taxes, we pay enough already.
There have been a few candidates and even congressmen/women who have tried to increase revenue and/or reduce spending. The candidates don't get elected, and the congresspersons don't get re-elected. Clay Higgins the most recent example I recall, but there have been a few others.

What's the evidence that would suggest term limits would fix the issue?

The majority of voters are against cutting spending while also being against raising taxes. They never bother to actually look at where our government spends and what to cut, nor do they bother to look at where revenue comes from our where it could be increased. They just blame congress and recommend someone else pay more and spend less.

The only theme the 99% agree on is make the rich pay more. But that's where most of the money comes from to run a campaign and get elected. So even if a candidate wanted to make the rich pay more, they wouldn't begin to have the funds to get (re)elected.

The 99% could elect congresspersons who would reduce deficits, but they'd have to get involved in primaries, most never have. It's easier to just make willfully ignorant recommendations...

That's all on voters. We get what we deserve...
 
That's all on voters. We get what we deserve...
I don’t agree. It’s easy to blame voters, but voters are not given simple choices, and no one has such easy answers for how to do this.

It’s really difficult to cut spending. If the Federal govt cuts $100B in spending, that’s 1 million jobs lost. Which leads to more social network spending and less tax revenue, which pushes the deficit back up again.

Although it is counterintuitive for most, the way to go about reducing the primary deficit in the US is by balancing trade.
 
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It seems our government has a spending problem not a revenue problem.
There is little political will to resolve this issue. Until we have a balanced budget amendment to the constitution our debt is here to stay. Personally, I think a balanced budget amendment is overkill but our political representatives have no discipline.
The start to debt resolution is to term limit the House and Senate.
No new taxes, we pay enough already.
Spending on the wrong things while sticking it to the poor. It's going to cost a lot more to have universal healthcare.

The rich need to pay their fair share in taxes instead of getting the largest tax cuts.
 
Interesting ideas but there's a reason why tax accountants have the second biggest boats in the marina.
 
I seem to remember us trying that recently.

Yes, but I think the bureaucracy squashed the process.

It's not the bureaucracy that squashes the process, it's Congress.

There have been several "Blue Ribbon Commissions" that have studied government debt and government spending over the past several decades. (Simpson-Bowles, anyone?) They make recommendations and then Congress fails to implement them. As far as I know that last Blue Ribbon Commission whose recommendations were actually implemented was the commission that studied Social Security funding early in Reagan' first term. The result was increasing the FICA tax (among other things.)
 
Remember Senator Proxmire's (D-WI) Golden Fleece awards for examples of wasted tax $?? 1975-1988. He was on the appropriations committee. To my knowledge none of the award winners funding was ever cut.
 
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