Cassius King
Full time employment: Posting here.
I'd adapt and find a way. Everyone of us lives to or under what our portfolio value is.
Most of us would, but perhaps not all could. I haven't been a member here very long, but I saw a couple of mentions of stories of people (former/inactive members?) having to un-retire and go back to work. I guess sometimes there are miscalculations and it just can't be done. The OP asked how long we believe we could remain retired on that amount.I'd adapt and find a way. Everyone of us lives to or under what our portfolio value is.
Really? I have not seen very many mentions of having to go back to work on here. My impression is that in this market everyone is growing their portfolio far beyond what they expected.Most of us would, but perhaps not all could. I haven't been a member here very long, but I saw a couple of mentions of stories of people (former/inactive members?) having to un-retire and go back to work. I guess sometimes there are miscalculations and it just can't be done. The OP asked how long we believe we could remain retired on that amount.
Same here. The most I recall is vague 3rd party anecdotes. You almost never hear casino goers talk about losses and it's unlikely a member here would announce their dilemma. I do recall some tongue-in-cheek comments from members saying they "failed" but it was not due to lack of assets.Really? I have not seen very many mentions of having to go back to work on here. My impression is that in this market everyone is growing their portfolio far beyond what they expected.
Which reminds me ... I'm late for work.If you're 75, with no debt and a paid off house, yes
if you're 70, probably
if you're 65, maybe...
if you're 60, it will be tight, real tight, and better have SS on the upper end
if you're 55, start interviewing to be a greeter in 5 years.
Really? I have not seen very many mentions of having to go back to work on here. My impression is that in this market everyone is growing their portfolio far beyond what they expected.
I was just balking at the "everyone of us" in the post I was replying to. Not everyone successfully retires for the rest of their lives on what they believed they could at the time they made the decision, but the ones who miscalculated and felt they had to go back to work are likely very few in number. In the couple of years I have been on the forum I recall seeing one or two references to such a person, and indeed they may have been hearsay anecdotes. I do believe I recall the story being that the person was a member of this forum. (The context of the discussion, if I recall, was that the (few) people who miscalculated don't tend to participate here anymore--which is a shame because their insights could be helpful to others trying to avoid similar miscalculations, but I digress.) And it was not in "this market" but most likely an effect of the 2008 financial crisis.Same here. The most I recall is vague 3rd party anecdotes. You almost never hear casino goers talk about losses and it's unlikely a member here would announce their dilemma. I do recall some tongue-in-cheek comments from members saying they "failed" but it was not due to lack of assets.
I have never seen 465k in my life. That being said between my pension and SS I get just under 100k a year after fed taxes, no state taxes on pension or SS. Wife will retire in June and collect 1 small pension and 1 baby pension, she might take SS in march. I retired at 55. I may not be rich but I want for nothing. Life is good.
The other question is then related to age and whether it pertains to single or couple. If the couple retires at 70 and brings in $100K in SS, the $465K will continue to grow.I should have clarified that $465k is the only means of retirement income in addition to SS. People with pensions are going to have a different view because they see $465k as a nest egg on top of having a usually pretty good percentage of pre-retirement income still coming in monthly via pension, sometimes 2x if they also have a spouse on a pension.
The scenario in the original post is someone has amassed $465k in a federally-matched IRA over a lifetime of working/saving and investing and it's time to retire--or is it? I was/am generally curious how folks think they could make that work, at what age, and how long do they think it would last in their situation.
In your situation, if $100k annual income is the benchmark, what you receive now, you'd likely run a $465k IRA dry fairly quickly. If you retired at 55, you could possibly be looking at returning to work in your 60's. Or do you think that assessment is incorrect?
$465K plus at least $1K/month in SS will get a nice lifestyle for a single in several foreign countries. You could live on the beach in Philippines, in the city in Thailand or in the mountains in Panama. The reason for >$1K in SS is that qualifies for a long term retirement visa in several ex-pat friendly countries. I personally really like the mountains in Panama, Costa Rica and Columbia and would consider going there for a few years even without financial incentives to move. DGF isn't on board with long term out of the country though."Are you Retirement Rich if you've saved $465k?"
No. Not even close. Could you survive on $465k in savings? Sure, depending on where in the US or world you're living.
I should have clarified that $465k is the only means of retirement income in addition to SS.
You've added or dropped a zero in your Firecalc inputs. Every instance fails with the portfolio plus $50K of SS for a $120K/year budget. A 0% success rate.FIRECalc looked at the 136 possible 20 year periods in the available data, starting with a portfolio of $465,000 and spending $120,000 each year thereafter.
Here is how your portfolio would have fared in each of the 136 cycles. The lowest and highest portfolio balance at the end of your retirement was $112,870 to $2,106,282, with an average at the end of $772,004. (Note: this is looking at all the possible periods; values are in terms of the dollars as of the beginning of the retirement period for each cycle.)
For our purposes, failure means the portfolio was depleted before the end of the 20 years. FIRECalc found that 0 cycles failed, for a success rate of 100.0%.
Really? I have not seen very many mentions of having to go back to work on here. My impression is that in this market everyone is growing their portfolio far beyond what they expected.