Interesting peek into the future.... Roth vs RMDs

old medic

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The Passive Income thread got me to playing with some #s. Here is what we are looking at next year after DW is fully retired doing conversions up to the top of 12% bracket.
2027 projection
My pension-27%
My SS- 25%
DW Pension- 23%
Roth Conversion 25%

Once Conversions are done and DW starts SS...
My pension-23.5%
DW pension-20.5%
My SS-21%
DW SS-16%
4% Roth WR 19% (Not needed)
This amount would push us into the next bracket IF it was taxable. 85% of SS will be.
But if its forced by RMDs the percentage would start about the same as the Roth WD and increase each year, to about 33% by year 10.
 
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I'm not sure if the OP has a question or not, but would be simpler if he used approximate dollar amounts.

I'm 76 and single for the past few decades and have done Roth conversions in the 24% bracket since it existed. My conversions are small nowadays compared to what they were before I started RMDs.

My RMD has been smaller than my gross SS benefit since it began. Plus, I have been doing increasingly larger QCDs the last few years since I have decently excess income.

Point being: RMDs are easy to manage, not a problem...
 
What would those numbers be if one of you died, leaving the other to eventually file as single?
It happens, you know.
Well it almost did with me...
With having 100% survivors' pensions, it would definitely push the other into the 22% and a good chance of 24% bracket If conversions are not done when RMDs start.
 
I'm not sure if the OP has a question or not, but would be simpler if he used approximate dollar amounts.
Point being: RMDs are easy to manage, not a problem...
Not really a question, just thinking out loud.
 
RMDs are what they are. Agree that numbers have more meaning as taxes are paid on amounts not percentages. I don’t know anyone that would rather have no pension so that RMDs would be less of a tax load. Worthwhile Roth conversions are difficult when you have a substantial (percentage of income or dollar amount), as often the worthwhile brackets are filled. In our case, we will actually pay somewhat less taxes on RMDs than we would have on had we not deferred via 401ks, so Roth conversions are carefully planned.

What I don’t understand is the OPs 4% Roth withdrawal rate that is unneeded and is 19% of income? Often the point of doing Roth conversions before RMDs is to allow that to grow untaxed for a time period to build up. Why not leave it in to grow until needed?

Everyones income and tax situations are different, but why do conversions that were 25% of your income to the top of the 12%, so that you can take it out immediately afterwards, while still in the 12%, where, if unneeded it would grow taxed?

There is no point (MFJ) in us doing anymore Roth conversions for now. I am 68 & DW is 73. I did maybe 150k worth over the years before I hit 66 and wasn’t collecting SS, but not much was done (just to top of 12%) after retirement as we have about $62k in fully taxed pensions. Once I filed my SS at FRA, with our inherited RMDs and now, plus DWs RMDs, there is no more room in 12%, and going higher income means losing a substantial state age/income deduction that negates the Roth gains. Once my RMDs start in 5 years, we will lose that deduction permanently on forced income.

I opened my Roth when I was 53, but never contributed much to it as I was already in a higher tax bracket, and made sure I capitalized on maximum company matches, HSA, and deferred taxes. There was maybe $150k in it when I retired and now it is well past $500k.

Currently we withdraw from after tax savings for all our extras, travel, cars, etc, any lumpy expenses that might exceed our forced income. Without them, our forced income exceeds our living expenses including taxes. We are not really BTD types, but we spend whenever we want, for what we want or need.

The majority of the pensions are non-COLA (maybe a couple hundred a year increase tied to inflation), and currently SS about equals our pensions. The plan when my relatively large RMDs of over $40k start in 5 years, is the same as @TheWizard, to convert it entirely to Roth, since it will be unneeded, assuming no major life change. It makes no sense to not do that, and increase the taxable income from the after tax savings accounts.

Primarily because we are MFJ, and know that in all likelihood one of us will be left filing Single, the more tax free account there is the better, especially if it is me that’s left, as DWs much smaller income goes away and my taxes would increase greatly. If DW is left, then she gets my large SS, but not my larger pension, so she will be in a lower tax bracket, possibly tax free depending on what the RMDs are. At that point she would do much larger Roth conversions to the top of her bracket to reduce the future RMDs just in case she needs more income for Senior care living.
 
We recently attended a retirement dog-n-pony show for the dinner. I'm very happy we have done our Roth conversions and have a small percentage (27%) left in TIRA that will go to QCDs starting 2027 or 2028. No more worry about RMDs or what happens when first goes the way of dirt and single tax brackets. Pensions and SS should be close to funding expenses for the survivor and taxes will have to be paid on that but shouldn't be the big increase if we had not converted 73% to Roths.
Downside is we may have paid taxes we didn't need to but then again in rates go up the funds converted won't be impacted. Good to have this behind us.
 
The Passive Income thread got me to playing with some #s. Here is what we are looking at next year after DW is fully retired doing conversions up to the top of 12% bracket.
2027 projection
My pension-27%
My SS- 25%
DW Pension- 23%
Roth Conversion 25%

Once Conversions are done and DW starts SS...
My pension-23.5%
DW pension-20.5%
My SS-21%
DW SS-16%
4% Roth WR 19% (Not needed)
This amount would push us into the next bracket IF it was taxable. 85% of SS will be.
But if its forced by RMDs the percentage would start about the same as the Roth WD and increase each year, to about 33% by year 10.
Like others, what you are musing about is just not clear and if it's centered on SS (again unclear) you are ALREADY in the 85% of SS taxed bracket.

I don't mean to be unduly harsh, but, I'm not sure why you're pussyfooting around with these percentages. You already have told us that you're doing conversions to the top of the 12% bracket so we know what your approximate income is.
 
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"The plan when my relatively large RMDs of over $40k start in 5 years, is the same as @TheWizard, to convert it entirely to Roth, since it will be unneeded, assuming no major life change."

It's illegal to convert a RMD to a Roth IRA. If you wish to continue to convert Roth IRA while taking RMD's, you must withdraw more than the RMD amount and the extra amount can be converted to a Roth IRA.
 
What would those numbers be if one of you died, leaving the other to eventually file as single?
It happens, you know.
This is something I have closely followed, if/when one of us passes all the sudden the bulk of our income is being filed as a single, a whole different world.
 
"The plan when my relatively large RMDs of over $40k start in 5 years, is the same as @TheWizard, to convert it entirely to Roth, since it will be unneeded, assuming no major life change."

It's illegal to convert a RMD to a Roth IRA. If you wish to continue to convert Roth IRA while taking RMD's, you must withdraw more than the RMD amount and the extra amount can be converted to a Roth IRA.
Correct.

And I came nowhere close to Roth converting all of my tax-deferred accounts.
I did moderate Roth conversions from age 63 to 72 and then smallish conversions (~$15,000) after RMDs started.
The upper limit on my Roth conversions lately has been to avoid getting into the next higher IRMAA tier or into the 32% marginal tax bracket...
 
This is something I have closely followed, if/when one of us passes all the sudden the bulk of our income is being filed as a single, a whole different world.
I've been filing Single since around 1998. It feels like a rather normal world to me...
 
I wasted the opportunity to do large Roth conversions in my pre-Medicare years and now at 65 a whole lot of chickens are coming home to roost. Though I did some minor conversions in my first 10 years of ER (about 4% of my NW) about 2/3 still remains in my tax deferred accounts.

Starting this year I'll be converting about the same amount as the RMD I'll be taking at 75. I should be able to stay in the 24% bracket and avoid NIIT, but I'll be in tier 3 of IRMAA for the rest of my life. When I die DW's tax situation won't be pretty.
 
...Starting this year I'll be converting about the same amount as the RMD I'll be taking at 75. I should be able to stay in the 24% bracket and avoid NIIT, but I'll be in tier 3 of IRMAA for the rest of my life. When I die DW's tax situation won't be pretty.
If having lower taxes is your primary concern, you can arrange for that in your will by disposing of much of your tax-deferred money with bequests to offspring or other relatives, along with donations to charities.
The surviving spouse need not inherit all of the decedent's assets...
 
FYI, with the OBBB tax bill signed into law in 2025, if you are 65 or older, the 12% tax bracket for Married Filing Joint extends all the way to $150K AGI for 2025, 2026, 2027 and 2028. This is a great time to do additional Roth IRA conversions while paying little federal tax on your IRA.
 
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I wasted the opportunity to do large Roth conversions in my pre-Medicare years and now at 65 a whole lot of chickens are coming home to roost. Though I did some minor conversions in my first 10 years of ER (about 4% of my NW) about 2/3 still remains in my tax deferred accounts.

Starting this year I'll be converting about the same amount as the RMD I'll be taking at 75. I should be able to stay in the 24% bracket and avoid NIIT, but I'll be in tier 3 of IRMAA for the rest of my life. When I die DW's tax situation won't be pretty.
Because of the long, bull market, many of us have found that Roth conversions haven't made much of a dent (if at all) in our T-IRA balances.

But, please ... you have 10 more years to tackle conversions before RMDs and then QCDs will be helpful to tackle IRMAA and your tax rate going forward. Your glass seems more than half-full from my viewpoint.
 
Because of the long, bull market, many of us have found that Roth conversions haven't made much of a dent (if at all) in our T-IRA balances.

But, please ... you have 10 more years to tackle conversions before RMDs and then QCDs will be helpful to tackle IRMAA and your tax rate going forward. Your glass seems more than half-full from my viewpoint.
Note: QCD eligibility starts at age 70.5, a good 2+ years before age 73 RMDs...
 
Because of the long, bull market, many of us have found that Roth conversions haven't made much of a dent (if at all) in our T-IRA balances.

But, please ... you have 10 more years to tackle conversions before RMDs and then QCDs will be helpful to tackle IRMAA and your tax rate going forward. Your glass seems more than half-full from my viewpoint.
I know. The world's tiniest violin plays for me.
 
Because of the long, bull market, many of us have found that Roth conversions haven't made much of a dent (if at all) in our T-IRA balances.
The market will take a pause this year and perhaps some subsequent years to give us a chance to catch up. :cool:
 
The market will take a pause this year and perhaps some subsequent years to give us a chance to catch up. :cool:
I'm not sure about that.
It's in a pause right now, for sure, but it's barely April.
A long way to go until New Year's Eve...
 
The market will take a pause this year and perhaps some subsequent years to give us a chance to catch up. :cool:
Ya, the old, I want less money so I don't have to pay 25% of it to taxes problem.
I have been doing Roth conversions up to the top of the 12% tax bracket for 7 years. My tax deferred is down to $51k, It's time to start on my wife's, she's a bit younger and has 6 more years, although I have Roth converted some of hers, we are starting from $325k, We can convert about 70k a year, so maybe we can get it all converted before RMDs, If we can just keep it from growing. :facepalm:
Also, It is said that we should keep some in for medical expenses. I still don't have a handle on that.
 
We've converted 1/3 of our tIRAs, leaving us with over $2.5M right now with RMDs 5 years out. Maibox money will be #130k once I take SS at 70, so we're in the 24% bracket and into the first IRMAA surcharge right out of the gate. We're converting up to/but not over the 2nd IRMAA threshold. Steady as she goes....

Then there are also QLACs, but I never did like annuities.
 
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We are fortunate to each have large IRA/401k accounts. Once I saw that SS+RMD will be pushing us into the 24% bracket, it's easy to just pay the tax now. I have delayed SS till 70 to have more room for Roth conversion, but have to claim it soon.

I have been doing Roth conversion into the 22% bracket, and into the 24% bracket last year. Will do the same this year. Roth accounts are now in the 7 figures, yet still only a fraction of the tax-deferred accounts still remain. And we have only 3 years left prior to RMD.

What I like about having more money in Roth is that I can make trades without worrying about tax consequences, and all the gains I make is mine. The result is that the return on the Roth is greater than the return on the tax-deferred, while the taxable accounts grow the least because they are buy-and-hold.
 
Ya, the old, I want less money so I don't have to pay 25% of it to taxes problem.
I have been doing Roth conversions up to the top of the 12% tax bracket for 7 years. My tax deferred is down to $51k, It's time to start on my wife's, she's a bit younger and has 6 more years, although I have Roth converted some of hers, we are starting from $325k, We can convert about 70k a year, so maybe we can get it all converted before RMDs, If we can just keep it from growing. :facepalm:...
Are you sure you have the right handle on what matters?

I'd be quite pleased if my tax-deferred balance, 99% in stock funds, grew from around $1M now to $3M in two years.
And if it somehow grew to $5M, I'd be ecstatic!

Try to focus more on the primary goal of investing, if you can...
 
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