Welcome to the board, Skyline.
Let me start by saying that the answers to all of your questions have been found most successfully by those who've had a chance to take the time off and think about them. We're not talking a two-week vacation-- a three-month sabbatical would be best, with plenty of down time to rest, recuperate, think, & talk-- especially considering that you guys are probably sleep-deprived parents anyway. (BTW you know immediately when your family is the right size. If you have twins or triplets then you know immediately when you've overshot the mark.) Maybe you could swing a combination of vacation, unpaid family leave time, and sabbatical or a leave of absence? The workplace is going to have to learn to live without you one way or another-- start getting them used to it now.
skyline said:
I'm approaching a FIRE goal (in fact, passed my initial goal of $2M saved), but find myself stressing more than I care to about the decision, and ultimately unable to make the decision.
The two ends of the bell-curve decision are "paralysis by analysis" and "worry constructively". Right now you sound as if you've satisfied yourself on the numbers-- especially if you're handling inflation & health-care expenses. The time off can give you the opportunity to destress (after you sleep off the chronic fatigue) and gain an objective perspective on your worries. After a few weeks' infection exposure to the "real" world, you may find that you no longer care about that workplace crap.
skyline said:
Last year's expenses were just about $50K post-tax incl. mortgage, but that was really bare-bones as it was also our first year with our son, so we pretty much lived like hermits. I figure if I FIRE, I'll need to add on another $10K for healthcare, another $10K for travel/misc, and another $10K for child-related expenses. Which would pretty much be all of my yearly safe withdrawl.
You gotta know your kids. Friends of ours were camping all over Europe-- literally climbing the Alps-- with diaper-wearing toddlers in backpacks. Meanwhile we felt that a successful day with our toddler consisted of brushing our teeth. (A bonus was combing our hair.) So maybe you'll have the time (and energy) to get out more... or maybe your kid will be too busy with you to let you get out much. Either way I wish I'd had more sleep but I wouldn't give back that toddler-parenting time for all the ER portfolios in the world. So that $10K kid cost may not grow, and it could probably shrink.
skyline said:
* I really dislike my job - but it's not that demanding and the money is good. Should I stick around and pad the savings some more? Am I an idiot for walking away from a lucrative job like this?
Devil's advocate question-- If the job's not that demanding, then why do you dislike it?!? Sounds like the politics & reaction demands have created an environment that makes it pretty darn stressful. You're only an idiot if you're ignoring the danger signs. You could stick around and pad the savings, but you could also end up in the cardiac ICU. The problem is knowing which is going to happen first.
skyline said:
* One option is to try to work out a part-time deal with my employer - I can't decide if the part-time headache would be worth the additional incremental income. Should I either quit completely or stay full-time until I'm ready?
Part-time is a great idea. It's been successful for others in two ways: (1) they form a new & long-term relationship where both employee & employer win, or (2) the employer makes it too hard so the employee realizes they weren't that interested in working anyway.
Talking to your employer about part-time gives them a big warning sign that they need to change the work environment for you, and their reaction to your query will tell you all you need to know about whether to go part-time or quit. If you can't take a sabbatical (for whatever reason) then part-time is a great alternative to quitting. Is consulting/contracting another option with this company? Have you read Bob Clyatt's "Work Less, Live More"?
skyline said:
* I can't seem to be able to get comfortable with the $10K/yr estimate for expenses of raising kids - I expect them to be LBYM, just like me (well, they won't have much of a choice while they're living with me, I guess), but any number I come up with feels like I pulled it out of my a**. Any thoughts from folks with kids living in similiar neighborhood (large city along either coast?).
I think $10K is high by maybe an order of magnitude, but that depends on whether you're paying for childcare & private schools. (Probably not necessary either, but that's a whole 'nother thread.) We've raised our kid quite successfully on Goodwill & garage sales. Kids don't really need a lot of expensive experiences or costly toys-- they need parental contact time. So why not stick with the $10K estimate, knowing that the worst-case scenario is you have money left over?
skyline said:
* My wife's parents are in pretty good shape, but mine are not in such good health (financial and medical). I can't help but feel irresponsible wanting to FIRE so early, when some additional years of work could go a long ways towards helping my parents when their money runs out.
Every financial journal will tell you to square away your retirement before you save for your kid's college or your parent's final years. Take care of yourself first before you care for others, or they'll end up caring for you too.
Either you or your parents gave you the skills to FIRE, so at least one of you is responsible enough to deserve it. And when you're FIRE'd you'll have more time to help out with your parents (again I think it's time spent with them that counts, not the numbers on the checks). If there aren't enough elder-support programs (to say nothing of Social Security) to help with their bills, then later on in your life you probably have enough employment skills to be able to snag a job that will help pay their bills. (Not that I think it's a good idea.) I suspect that you'll also have the financial-management skills to FIRE now, spend time with them on their financial habits & assets, and square them away without having to go back to work. And again you can't be much help to them if your workplace puts you in the cardiac ICU.
skyline said:
* $90K a year seems like a lot. I know lots of families do it for far less. But I've reviewed my expenses and don't see much to cut out. I live way below my means, to a point where the rest of my family makes fun of me. Cutting out the mortgage payments, last year we made it on only $25K/yr, but all the other expenses I listed as add-ons seem legitimate - and sure enough, every time I sit down and run a scenario, it adds up to around $80-$90K/year. Am I missing something here?
Nah, but the best way to refine a budget is to live it. You may decide that in ER the things you enjoyed spending money on (or the expenses that you "deserved" to spend on because you were working so hard) are no longer important to you. Most ERs find that their budgets drop when they've gone through the discovery process of actually living their expenses, but it wasn't easily determined before they ER'd. IIRC the biggest ER budget surprises have been capital expenses (new roof, a bigger RV), health insurance (especially a diagnosis), and fantasy vacations. Otherwise the reaction has generally been "If I'd known ER was this cheap I would've done it years ago." You seem to have a handle on the financial analysis so I suspect that all your surprises will be pleasant ones.
skyline said:
* Finally, DO I JUST NEED TO GROW A PAIR AND GO FOR IT? Or am I being reckless and selfish in wanting out so early?
Well, perhaps, but don't fling caution to the winds. Take a few months off and see how you like it. Your "reckless & selfish" part is trying to tell you that you can't take the stress much longer and that you need to do something about it. The time off (and your family) will help you decide what you need to do.
Frankly, from the way you've worded this post, I think you're just beggin' for someone to nudge you off the diving board.