clifp
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
- Joined
- Oct 27, 2006
- Messages
- 7,733
For many years I have been touting the M* Dividend Investor Newsletter
Not because I think the editor (Josh Peters) is a gifted stock picker, his picks for the most part are not much different, than the ones we see on the forum or are held by Wellesley. Rather I appreciate his disciplined approach to pick dividends and the detailed reports he produces.
The portfolio started 7 years ago with real money (Morningstars) of $100,000. In Dec 2006 he split the portfolio into two ~$100,000 portfolio.
Builder focusing on companies who's dividends grow fast JNJ, 3M are classic examples and the Harvest portfolio which has high yielding stocks (e..g Altaria MO) and lots of Master Limited Partnerships but lower growth rates.
*annualized returns
Now obviously these returns look nice, but as Josh said the last year has been great for dividend stocks with everybody from Cramer to Suze Orman talking about them. Josh doesn't much care about the stock prices but rather the income they produced. He warns that in the future dividend stock will UNDERPERFORM the market, although who knows when that day will come.
This is the part I find particularly interesting. The current income from the portfolios.
What this means is that $100,000 invested in 2007 when the market was higher would today be throwing of $4373 in dividend income, roughly 15% higher than when it started. This despite the portfolio at one point having 5 or 6 banks and psuedo/banks plus GE. It still has 3 banks and recently bought GE. Now some of this increase was due to dividend reinvestment which won't apply to a retiree but still, even with a terrible market and a bunch banks stocks dividend income was pretty reliable.
The story is much better for the higher yield harvest portfolio.
Change in Income(ex-cash):897.84
Back in Jan 2007 the Harvest portfolio's income was $5646 so it has gained almost $2K in income. Now much of this gain is due to dividend reinvestment. However, a retiree this year could have withdrawn a bit over 5% and still had his income increase by 5.3% well exceeding the inflation rate. The harvest portfolio benefited by only having one bank, and also for invested in MLPs which have done very well.
Of course the normal caveats apply, and I personally don't find most dividend stocks particularly cheap. Still I did find it encouraging that even in horrible market dividends can still pay the bills.
For you mutual fund types, this is basically the approach Wellesley and Wellington have been pursuing the last 40 years (plus a significant bond portfolio of course.)
Not because I think the editor (Josh Peters) is a gifted stock picker, his picks for the most part are not much different, than the ones we see on the forum or are held by Wellesley. Rather I appreciate his disciplined approach to pick dividends and the detailed reports he produces.
The portfolio started 7 years ago with real money (Morningstars) of $100,000. In Dec 2006 he split the portfolio into two ~$100,000 portfolio.
Builder focusing on companies who's dividends grow fast JNJ, 3M are classic examples and the Harvest portfolio which has high yielding stocks (e..g Altaria MO) and lots of Master Limited Partnerships but lower growth rates.
Fourth Quarter 2011 Total Return Summary (including dividends) . | Q4/2011 | CY 2011 | From Dec29 2006* |
Dividend Builder Portfolio | 14.1% | 11.5% | 1.5% |
Dividend Harvest Portfolio | 12.8% | 17.7% | 7.2% |
Combined MDI Portfolios: | 13.5% | 14.6% | 4.2% |
S&P 500 Index | 11.8% | 2.1% | -0.2% |
Morningstar Dividend Leaders Index | 10.4% | 15.0% | -1.0% |
Dow Jones Select Dividend Index | 12.7% | 12.4% | -0.7% |
Now obviously these returns look nice, but as Josh said the last year has been great for dividend stocks with everybody from Cramer to Suze Orman talking about them. Josh doesn't much care about the stock prices but rather the income they produced. He warns that in the future dividend stock will UNDERPERFORM the market, although who knows when that day will come.
This is the part I find particularly interesting. The current income from the portfolios.
12/31/10 | Beginning Annualized Income | 3,601.05 |
Contribution from Dividend Increases | 459.65 | |
Contribution from Dividend Reinvestment | 182.81 | |
Contribution from Portfolio Changes | 130.39 | |
Change in Interest Income on Cash | -1.05 | |
12/30/11 | Ending Annualized Income: | 4,372.85 |
Dividend Increases/Beginning Income | 12.8% | |
Total Growth of Annualized Income | 21.4% |
The story is much better for the higher yield harvest portfolio.
12/31/10 | Beginning Annualized Income | 6,627.64 | |
Contribution from Dividend Increases | 348.22 | ||
Contribution from Dividend Reinvestment | 411.97 | ||
Contribution from Portfolio Changes | 137.65 | ||
Change in Interest Income on Cash | -0.82 | ||
12/30/11 | Ending Annualized Income: | 7,524.66 | |
Dividend Increases/Beginning Income | 5.3% | ||
Total Growth of Annualized Income | 13.5% | ||
Back in Jan 2007 the Harvest portfolio's income was $5646 so it has gained almost $2K in income. Now much of this gain is due to dividend reinvestment. However, a retiree this year could have withdrawn a bit over 5% and still had his income increase by 5.3% well exceeding the inflation rate. The harvest portfolio benefited by only having one bank, and also for invested in MLPs which have done very well.
Of course the normal caveats apply, and I personally don't find most dividend stocks particularly cheap. Still I did find it encouraging that even in horrible market dividends can still pay the bills.
For you mutual fund types, this is basically the approach Wellesley and Wellington have been pursuing the last 40 years (plus a significant bond portfolio of course.)