(Posting in this thread because I didn't feel my situation warranted a whole new separate post)
After I retired this past July, we went on ACA insurance starting August 1st. I estimated our 2025 MFJ income to be $60K. I had earned around $35K the first 7 months of the year before I retired after including unused vacation. In September, I used the rule of 55 to withdraw $19K (before the 20% mandatory withholding) which brought our AGI for the year up to around $54K. I usually have around $2,500 of capital gains, dividends, interest income, but we've been able to carry over $3K of annual losses from an inherited estate so that usually was cancelled out. Anyway, I figured our $60K estimate would work out well for our first year having to figure out these new (to us) ACA regulations.
Well, yesterday Vanguard sent me my 1099 form for 2025 and it shows that I have $3,400 of dividends and distributions and over $22K under proceeds, gains, & losses, adjustments and withholdings. If I add this to our income for 2025, we now end up with more than $76K, which is way more than the $60K that I estimated.
Towards the end of 2025, I rebalanced our investments and changed our pre-tax AA from 60/40 to a more conservative 30/70 mix. Unfortunately (for me) I also rebalanced an after-tax account, which I'm guessing is what triggered these capital gains. Looking back, I should have not touched that account, but I had previously left it at 75/25 when I changed the pre-tax ones to 60/40 and after the growth of the last 6 or 7 years, it was actually more like 85/15. Being our "emergency fund", I thought 85/15 was a little too much risk. I was worried about the whole 'sequence of returns' scenario, and if the markets dropped 40% or more, I didn't want our emergency fund to drop that much as well. Bad move on my part, but it is what it is now.
We got 5 months of subsidies in 2025. Around $1,100 per month so $5,500 for 2025. According to what I've researched, since our 2025 income is going to be more than 300%, but less than 400% of FPL, it looks like we're going to pay back some of those subsidies, but only up to a maximum of $3,250.
Am I correct in this? Am I overlooking anything? I've already maxed out my Roth-IRA contribution for 2025, and neither of us were eligible for HSA account contributions until January 1st, 2026. I did not to contribute to DW's traditional IRA for 2025, but I'm not sure where I would get the cash for that this year. I try to keep an extra $10K to $15K in savings for emergencies, but I'm not sure I should reduce that by $7K .Unless by doing that, we were able to bring our income below 300% which might save us $1,300 in subsidy repayments.
We'll be bringing all of our paperwork to our tax preparer (Note - I've usually done our own returns, but we found a highly-recommended, and really competent tax person to help me through this whole rule-of-55 and ACA tax implications) in a couple of weeks, so I'll find out what she says then. I just thought I'd ask here if this had happened to anyone else or if anybody had any other suggestions for our predicament before we filed our 2025 tax returns.
Thanks in advance for any help.