S&P 500 Prediction 2025

S&P 500 Prediction 2025

  • 5500

    Votes: 19 17.9%
  • 5700

    Votes: 2 1.9%
  • 5800

    Votes: 5 4.7%
  • 5900

    Votes: 1 0.9%
  • 6000

    Votes: 5 4.7%
  • 6100

    Votes: 6 5.7%
  • 6200

    Votes: 8 7.5%
  • 6300

    Votes: 11 10.4%
  • 6500

    Votes: 19 17.9%
  • 6600

    Votes: 15 14.2%
  • 6700

    Votes: 4 3.8%
  • >6800

    Votes: 17 16.0%

  • Total voters
    106
  • This poll will close: .
My hope is for a broadening of the market, where midcaps and small-caps do better than the S&P 500. That said, here's guessing at 6200.
 
My guess is we will see 6700 but end the year around 6350
 
My guess is 5536. That’s roughly 7.5% compounded since 12/31/23. After a long run of 12% CAGR, I think we’re due a sub par stretch. But I don’t think we’re ready to fall off a cliff.
 
Once again I have consulted with my Cat Nacho. We are both feeling optimistic of the year ahead and forecast the S&P 500 will close at 6832 for 2025.
 
All guesses made before 1/11 11:59PM Pacific Time (aka 1/12 3:00AM Eastern Time) will be eligible to be "assigned" to this years divisions.

If you make multiple guesses, the last one posted is what counts. That gives you time, after market close on 1/10, to have more than a day to analyze what the market has done so far this year, if you want to refine your guess :).
 
After 2 years of 20+ percent growth, I cannot see that for a 3rd year in a row. Add it the economic swamp gas and mirrors that occur with any new administration coming in, and I see a little growth, but only to 6293 :) .
 
As of this post:

Number of guesses: 47
Lowest: 4,167 (-29.2%)
Highest: 6,982 (18.7%)
Average: 6,137,79 (4.4%)
Median: 6,294 (7.0%)

Percentages are the change from S&P 500 year end 2024 value.

Graphical representation of guesses:

1736548984074.png
 
As of this post:

Number of guesses: 47
Lowest: 4,167 (-29.2%)
Highest: 6,982 (18.7%)
Average: 6,137,79 (4.4%)
Median: 6,294 (7.0%)

Percentages are the change from S&P 500 year end 2024 value.

Graphical representation of guesses:

View attachment 53776
I don’t know why, but I just love that you made a graph.
 
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