surprising
Full time employment: Posting here.
- Joined
- Feb 7, 2023
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- 925
Sold all my PDI, PDO, DX, DLY, all held in roth. I recommend everyone else do the opposite 
Indeed. A number of asset managers appearing on TV have agreed on one thing: it's unlikely anybody will be INCREASING their exposures this afternoon in front of a weekend during a shooting war in oil country and unrelenting confused quack issuing forth from DC. SO bids may be thin, and sellers may have to go deep. I'm going to put a few bids for bondish CEFs at "silly" / "obviously impossible" levels and otherwise sit on my hands til Monday.MEMO: Mkt is down another 600 pts again today. It occurs to me that the great Crashes of 1929 and of 1987 erupted AFTER a week or more of sawtooth bear movements starting from extreme highs that preceded them.... quite similar to what is happening now. Am I implying anything? Not at all: merely observing and remembering.
"Let slip the dogs of war!" --- Klingon general, Star Trek "Undiscovered Country" DThere’s an old Wall Street saying about buy when the cannons are booming. Sell when the trumpets of victory are sounding. Something like that. Basically buy fear. If the VIX gets over 30, I will release the cash hounds into the asset fields.
But nearly 2% since we learned of the Iran situation. That's defines a whole new environment.SP500 is down 1% for the past 3 months.
Great quote: "Buy when you hear cannons and sell when you hear trumpets" from Nathan Rothschild, European banker, during the Napoleonic wars. Since we're being highbrow hereThere’s an old Wall Street saying about buy when the cannons are booming. Sell when the trumpets of victory are sounding. Something like that. Basically buy fear. If the VIX gets over 30, I will release the cash hounds into the asset fields.
awesome-------Great quote: "Buy when you hear cannons and sell when you hear trumpets" from Nathan Rothschild, European banker, during the Napoleonic wars. Since we're being highbrow heremaybe pair it with Goethe's "Few people have the imagination for reality"!
even if this happensI have a feeling this will go somewhat like the Tariff tantrum went. When we reach the point of maximum despondency and despair, a magical tweet out of nowhere will completely change the narrative.
Sitting long and strong with minor adjustments around the edges.
More like chaos (sensitive dependence on initial conditions). That's what makes sports inherently unpredictable at certain scales.awesome-------
I found myself ruminating about golf, the golf swing, a click for a perfect swing, a shank--always a deep shock to the system
for some reason musing about golf---every tiny aspect from a slight change of the left thumb to the shoes---makes me feel like i'm approaching the imagination for Reality
I am staying away from BDC/CEFs for now. Sold most of them today. I think the private capital contagion is just getting started.even if this happens
is this any way to invest
there has to be a way, a different road, a more meaningful way to deal w/ the present situation b/c it will probably last for years
there's a part of me that refuses to invest per social media---and this may be foolish & egotistical on my part---
so tell me how Reality is all that different from chaosMore like chaos (sensitive dependence on initial conditions). That's what makes sports inherently unpredictable at certain scales.
I am staying away from BDC/CEFs for now. Sold most of them today. I think the private capital contagion is just getting started.
I am not going to try to be smart, and will just DCA into VTI sporadically.
Getting better everyday for your opportunity to buy.I buy CEFs when they are out of favor as referenced by higher discount or reduced premium. I sell when this changes.
It works pretty well, but I also do not try to live on the income so debt and selling spiked yields are not something I look for.
Hi, Old Dog.wow - sorry, this is news to me that GOF (like PIMCO) gives a 5% discount -- do you get it via Fido or Schwab or who?? Thanks