aja8888
Moderator Emeritus
No foreign equities or bonds here.
kevink: Thanks, this is the clearest representation of my thinking that I've seen anywhere. I don't believe it is "market timing" to make small adjustments to portfolios, especially in order to increase diversification.Like Jonathan Clements and William Bernstein I think the default stock allocation should be global. Vanguard's VT gets you there and by automatically rebalancing keeps you from monkeying with things, or to save a few basis points and get the foreign tax credit you can use 65% VTI:35% VXUS.
There are literally hundreds of pages of debate about exact percentages, whether a US investor needs any int'l at all, etc. on the Bogleheads forums. One thing's for sure, 15+ years of US outperformance have blinded many to the long periods when international has outperformed and the cyclical nature of trends.
Personally I have increased my international from 20% to global market weight because I believe that current government policies have greatly accelerated already extant trends of waning US market and currency dominance with other major powers picking up the slack. This neutral, "nobody knows nuthin'" approach isn't exactly radical: Vanguard's own target retirement and LifeStrategy funds have used 40% in international equities and 30% in international bonds for many years.
That would be true, also IMO. You didn't say in your OP how much you were transferring from domestic to international. I guess I took from your "reason" provided, which is recent (3 Current U.S. administration policies, politics.) that it would be a more significant switch.kevink: Thanks, this is the clearest representation of my thinking that I've seen anywhere. I don't believe it is "market timing" to make small adjustments to portfolios, especially in order to increase diversification.
My allocation went from 14% of my portfolio to 18%. Percentage of equities went from 20.9% to 34.6%.That would be true, also IMO. You didn't say in your OP how much you were transferring from domestic to international. I guess I took from your "reason" provided, which is recent (3 Current U.S. administration policies, politics.) that it would be a more significant switch.
Flieger
I've been trying to use the "freedom investing" that I first learned about on Marotta on Money decades ago. When I first got into it, it was much more tedious than the simplified version I have now. Getting lazy. I felt better about not optimizing my own return because I was investing in/rewarding places in the world that places a higher value on freedom and the rule of law.Factor in horrible demographics overseas and lots of intrusive governments, the trend could continue or get more pronounced.
I've heard there is often a fatal flaw with the % internationally. My advisor said its calculated on where that company is headquartered out of. So for instance a US tobacco based company would show 100% domestic even though a large % of revenue is global. Has anyone else heard this and believes it distorts the % view?I've recently decreased my allocation to domestic equities and increased to developed country foreign equities. What percentage of total invested assets do you have in foreign equities? My allocation now is 51% domestic equities/18% foreign eq/25% domestic bonds/2% cash
The old argument that one doesn't need international because the companies that dominate the US market have global businesses started with Jack Bogle I believe. And it's one of the few things he was wrong about - as shown of course by the company he founded, based on the research of their sizable staff of economists, recommending significant exposure to international in both equities and bonds.I've heard there is often a fatal flaw with the % internationally. My advisor said its calculated on where that company is headquartered out of. So for instance a US tobacco based company would show 100% domestic even though a large % of revenue is global. Has anyone else heard this and believes it distorts the % view?
I've been on the record on this forum to bash International Funds. I hold about 15% International.
Year to date it is my best performing sector. I'll eat crow when it is performing well.