Just thinking out loud here.
EGRIX has already lost -0.75% from its last top. It's getting closer to my sell signal.
I also noticed that EIDOX another good EM run by Eaton Vance, lost last week, while AGEYX didn't.
The Eaton Vance team manages EIGMX, EGRIX, and EIDOX.
Switching from EGRIX to EIGMX is an easy choice. EIGMX still lost -0.35%.
The other fund I owned gained last week.
Looking at worst-case scenarios and my goals (making the highest performance with the lowest SD).
I'm already at 4.2% YTD. If I just make 0.5% every month until year-end, it's over 9%.
Suppose I wanted an ALT fund with good LT risk-adjusted performance. I can park my money there for weeks.
I did a fund screener at Fidelity (
link) for ALT, Misc, and nontrad + Sharpe>1 + YTD>1%
Looks like ARBIX=Absolute Convertible Arbitrage Fund fits the bill. It has the lowest SD by far.
It pays distributions only in Dec. For me it's another good one in a taxable account.
(
link) The Absolute Convertible Arbitrage Fund [ARBIX / ARBOX] seeks to achieve positive absolute returns over the long-term with low volatility when compared to traditional market indices. To achieve this, the Fund takes advantage of the relationship between a company’s convertible bonds and its common stock in order to pursue value across credit, income and volatility factors.
The Fund is designed to complement either the alternatives or fixed income sleeve of a diversified portfolio and may be attractive to investors seeking moderate return with relatively low volatility.
I can do the usual at Schwab. Buy ARBIX for just $20 with no fees. The next day add more with Auto investing for just $10.
One-year chart. I would take 8% with low SD for a partial of my portfolio any time.
Remember the past is the past; it's a good reference, but not always. The risk/reward is a given.
I'm looking at the future. A 1.7% YTD could be an "easy" 9-10% for 2026.
Basically, looking for worst cases but striving to make more NOW based on CURRENT markets.
Disclaimer: the above isn't a recommendation; do your own DD, I might own it or not and will trade without giving any notice.
View attachment 61907
Now watch the YTD chart.
View attachment 61908
ARBIX risk From M* (
https://www.morningstar.com/funds/xnas/arbix/risk)
View attachment 61906