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10 year treasuries 1.097 %
Old 06-20-2019, 09:39 AM   #1
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10 year treasuries 1.097 %

Money is flooding into the U S today . Looks like something bad over there . Cheap loans if you want to buy a home . Market is acting like International problems .
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Old 06-20-2019, 09:46 AM   #2
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do you mean 1.97%?

saw that when i was working out this morning
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Old 06-20-2019, 09:49 AM   #3
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Yes , sorry 1.97 at these rates something big is getting ready to happen somewhere in the world ! China , Eu , Iran ??
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Old 06-20-2019, 11:23 AM   #4
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Just emailed my mortgage broker and asked him to see if he can find me a 15 year, no points, with an interest rate <3%. I'm at 3.875% so not sure if it would be worth the closing costs that TX charges.
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Old 06-20-2019, 12:13 PM   #5
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it I can't believe it . I am hearing money is coming into the U S faster then we can loan it out . It might mean we are going to strike Iran soon Or Or these money countries are not so secure right now .
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Old 06-20-2019, 12:19 PM   #6
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It's probably more likely due to the Fed signaling that interest rates may take a haircut later this year.
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Old 06-20-2019, 12:23 PM   #7
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Gold was up $14+ yesterday.
Just looked at my phone and gold is up another $44 (!!!!) today (dang it, I was going to buy more next month when a couple of t-bills matured).
So yeah...
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Old 06-20-2019, 12:33 PM   #8
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Might have something to do with:
1) Fed signalling lower rates
2) A US military drone being shot out of the sky
3) Below zero rates in many European countries

Finally my GLD and gold coins are starting to look better.

Here's an interesting chart, showing the Gold/Silver ratio:


So far in 2019 Gold is leaving Silver behind. This makes Silver a catch up trade candidate OR something else is going on, e.g. Silver has industrial demand which is waning or perhaps Gold is more of a 'crisis' metal (held by central banks). Dunno, but it is interesting.
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Old 06-20-2019, 12:42 PM   #9
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I'm selling everything I can today before we go to war with Iran.
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Old 06-20-2019, 01:16 PM   #10
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I'm selling everything I can today before we go to war with Iran.
You are supposed to buy when the cannons are booming.
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Old 06-20-2019, 01:20 PM   #11
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You are supposed to buy when the cannons are booming.
right now its still the sabres rattling
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Old 06-20-2019, 01:28 PM   #12
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Quote:
Originally Posted by corn18 View Post
Just emailed my mortgage broker and asked him to see if he can find me a 15 year, no points, with an interest rate <3%. I'm at 3.875% so not sure if it would be worth the closing costs that TX charges.
Maybe not now but perhaps soon. For the last year I've had a much greater fear of lower not higher interest rates. I've done everything I could to lock in those 3+ % CD's. Now that has passed. Perhaps my next move will be to borrow some (I didn't see that coming) if the real estate bubble pops again.
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Old 06-20-2019, 01:31 PM   #13
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Aerides View Post
It's probably more likely due to the Fed signaling that interest rates may take a haircut later this year.
Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee
met in May indicates that the labor market remains
strong and that economic activity is rising at a
moderate rate. Job gains have been solid, on average, in
recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low.
Although growth of household spending and appears to
have picked up from earlier in the year, indicators of business
fixed investment slowed in the first quarter.have been soft. On
a 12-month basis, overall inflation and inflation for items other
than food and energy have declined and are running below 2
percent. On balance, Market-based measures of
inflation compensation have remained low in recent months,
; survey-based measures of longer-term inflation
expectations are little changed.
Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to
foster maximum employment and price stability. In support of
these goals, the Committee decided to maintain the target
range for the federal funds rate at 2-1/4 to 2-1/2 percent. The
Committee continues to view sustained expansion of economic
activity, strong labor market conditions, and inflation near the
Committee's symmetric 2 percent objective as the most likely
outcomes., but uncertainties about this outlook have increased.
In light of global economic and financial
uncertainties and muted inflation pressures, the Committee will
be patient as it determines what future adjustments
monitor the target implications of incoming information for
the federal funds rate may be economic outlook and will act as
appropriate to support the expansion,
with a strong labor market and inflation near its symmetric 2
percent objective.
In determining the timing and size of future adjustments to the
target range for the federal funds rate, the Committee will
assess realized and expected economic conditions relative to
its maximum employment objective and its symmetric 2 percent
inflation objective. This assessment will take into account a
wide range of information, including measures of labor market
conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation
expectations, and readings on financial and international
developments.


Yes I saw where the "The Committee will be patient" has been adjudicated to mean cutting in July no matter what! All of that based on the gobbledygook the Fed puts out in an effort for "transparency".
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Old 06-20-2019, 01:41 PM   #14
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Originally Posted by Running_Man View Post
Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee
met in May indicates that the labor market remains
strong and that economic activity is rising at a
moderate rate. Job gains have been solid, on average, in
recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low.
Although growth of household spending and appears to
have picked up from earlier in the year, indicators of business
fixed investment slowed in the first quarter.have been soft. On
a 12-month basis, overall inflation and inflation for items other
than food and energy have declined and are running below 2
percent. On balance, Market-based measures of
inflation compensation have remained low in recent months,
; survey-based measures of longer-term inflation
expectations are little changed.
Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to
foster maximum employment and price stability. In support of
these goals, the Committee decided to maintain the target
range for the federal funds rate at 2-1/4 to 2-1/2 percent. The
Committee continues to view sustained expansion of economic
activity, strong labor market conditions, and inflation near the
Committee's symmetric 2 percent objective as the most likely
outcomes., but uncertainties about this outlook have increased.
In light of global economic and financial
uncertainties and muted inflation pressures, the Committee will
be patient as it determines what future adjustments
monitor the target implications of incoming information for
the federal funds rate may be economic outlook and will act as
appropriate to support the expansion,
with a strong labor market and inflation near its symmetric 2
percent objective.
In determining the timing and size of future adjustments to the
target range for the federal funds rate, the Committee will
assess realized and expected economic conditions relative to
its maximum employment objective and its symmetric 2 percent
inflation objective. This assessment will take into account a
wide range of information, including measures of labor market
conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation
expectations, and readings on financial and international
developments.


Yes I saw where the "The Committee will be patient" has been adjudicated to mean cutting in July no matter what! All of that based on the gobbledygook the Fed puts out in an effort for "transparency".
Exactly. Reading the above I do not get the "Fed is dovish" headlines that are plastered everywhere today.
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Old 06-20-2019, 02:30 PM   #15
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I think if money had been flooding into the right now US we would see the dollar strengthening. Instead dollar has been weakening a bit with respect to the Euro. It was stronger a month ago.

I think this is sudden anticipation of a Fed rate cut - which tends to weaken the dollar.
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Old 06-20-2019, 03:21 PM   #16
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You are supposed to buy when the cannons are booming.
I'm buying cannons.
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Old 06-20-2019, 03:23 PM   #17
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Originally Posted by Spock View Post
right now its still the sabres rattling
I'm buying sabres.
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Old 06-20-2019, 03:28 PM   #18
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I'm buying margaritas in Mexico the week after next.
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Old 06-20-2019, 03:53 PM   #19
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I'm buying cannons.
BOOM!
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Old 06-20-2019, 04:47 PM   #20
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I'm buying margaritas in Mexico the week after next.
And that's exactly the right attitude!
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