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2010 Census Release
Old 12-20-2010, 06:38 AM   #1
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2010 Census Release

The Census Bureau will release the official "number" representing 2010 U.S. population tomorrow morning: Census 2010 News | Media Advisory — U.S. Census Bureau to Present A New Portrait of America, First 2010 Census Results

The 2000 number was 281,421,000.

The Census Bureau's "clock" shows 311 million right now, based on estimating methods that are repeated year-to-year.

My guess for tomorrow's number? 309 million.

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Old 12-21-2010, 04:48 PM   #2
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You were pretty darn close. Glad that Texas will be getting 4 more seats in Congress.

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Old 12-21-2010, 07:32 PM   #3
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Originally Posted by mickeyd View Post
You were pretty darn close. Glad that Texas will be getting 4 more seats in Congress.
Nothing but luck on the guess...

I guess I'm glad for Texas at some level, but there's no joy in thinking about the Texas legislature going into session in January with redistricting as a major distraction.

140 days of sausage-making once every two years is bad enough as it is.

This NYT graphic summarizing the population change and redistricting data by state is pretty good:

Which States Will Gain or Lose Seats in Congress - Interactive Graphic -

Having lived in Texas all of my adult life, I had assumed bitterly partisan congressional redistricting fights are something that every state goes through. The Times' data show it isn't so:
  • 7 states have only one representative in Congress, so there is no need to draw up districts
  • Another 6 use some sort of commission structure to draw up districts, presumably with at least some insulation from direct political influence
  • Iowa and Nebraska have their own way of doing things, apparently non-partisan
One other fact I found interesting: the only state to lose population the last 10 years was Michigan.
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