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Big Earthquake in Cali...somewhere 3/19-3/26
Old 03-18-2011, 07:50 PM   #1
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Big Earthquake in Cali...somewhere 3/19-3/26

http://www.foxbusiness.com/on-air/ca...erica-imminent

I do not like Fox, and do not believe most of what they say. But this sure would stink up the markets just before our retirement in April! :-)
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Old 03-18-2011, 09:41 PM   #2
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That video was made March 2, 2010--sooner or later they'll be right.
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Old 03-18-2011, 10:00 PM   #3
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They moved it...

Big California Earthquake Imminent? - Fox News Video - FoxNews.com

The prediction was made March 2, 2010. Any time now. Imminent. Yup. Aaaany time now...


Earthquakes are a real risk, but I have my doubts about calling it to a few days or weeks. The Fox newsreaders think calling it to a few days is fine. The geophysicist they interview thinks calling it to a few decades is reasonable.
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Old 03-19-2011, 12:52 AM   #4
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Originally Posted by bizlady View Post
I do not like Fox, and do not believe most of what they say. But this sure would stink up the markets just before our retirement in April! :-)
Heh heh.. funny... I like Fox and believe most of what they say, but I am not so sure about this geophysicist's prediction
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Old 03-19-2011, 01:04 AM   #5
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I think Shakespeare wrote a play about it (at least this guy's predictions, anyway).
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Old 03-19-2011, 01:16 AM   #6
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Is that the guy that predicted the World Series quake in 89? He was dead on then, but quake prediction isn't exactly a science. Not much you can do about if it does happen anyway except ride it out and hope for the best.
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Old 03-19-2011, 06:27 AM   #7
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Not much you can do about if it does happen anyway except ride it out and hope for the best.
That's what always crosses my mind when I read these stories. It's very old news to begin with and what exactly do they think people are going to do with the info even if it is correct?
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Old 03-19-2011, 09:09 AM   #8
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Where do you see the March 2 2010 date??
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Old 03-19-2011, 09:27 AM   #9
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The most current info from USGS, for state of California USA. Not yet updated for tomorrow.

24-Hour Aftershock Forecast Map
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Old 03-19-2011, 10:00 AM   #10
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Where do you see the March 2 2010 date??
To the left at the top of the page--looks like several of us noticed it:

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Latest News
Big California Earthquake Imminent?
Mar 2, 2010 - 2:57 - Geophysicist on quake risk in Calif.
So I think you're probably as safe to retire next month as ever.
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Old 03-19-2011, 10:41 AM   #11
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I do not like Fox, and do not believe most of what they say.
Which Fox are you talking about?

Fox Show Sites
Fox Networks
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Old 03-19-2011, 01:11 PM   #12
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Which Fox are you talking about? ...
I like the evening comedy lineup on Fox News...
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Old 03-19-2011, 01:37 PM   #13
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When I watch, I like the foxy foxes on FOX.
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Old 03-19-2011, 01:53 PM   #14
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It is probably a good reminder to either stock up or check your supply of things that should be stockpiled in case the "big one" does hit. I've been reading that a lot of Japanese are without food and water. I always keep a supply of canned goods and a 5 gallon bottle of drinking water stored in my shed next to my camping equipment.

I pretty sure Fox does not have any special earthquake prediction talent, but the chances are pretty good that California is going to get a major earthquake before you die of natural causes.
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Old 03-20-2011, 11:42 AM   #15
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I like the evening comedy lineup on Fox News...
News is OK, IMHO.

When you get to folks like Beck and Hannity, it is a bit hard to take (and this, from a FOX viewer, of many of their entertainment, news, and opinion offerings).

I do like Shep for his expanded news show (60 minutes) which covers more than the "clips" covered by the "big 3" networks.

To set the record straight, I'm a libertarian at heart. When they get their own channel, I'll start watching them. At least FOX has a libertarian show on their network - Stossel. Close enough to keep my interest.
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Old 03-20-2011, 03:27 PM   #16
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Unfortunately, not only the markets but health as well. I don't think we can see yet the extent its "ripples" will affect all of us globally.
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Old 03-20-2011, 03:29 PM   #17
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Unfortunately, not only the markets but health as well. I don't think we can see yet the extent its "ripples" will affect all of us globally.
Sorry, sorry - you said California, I'm still thinking of the Japanese events.
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Old 03-20-2011, 05:03 PM   #18
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That's what always crosses my mind when I read these stories. It's very old news to begin with and what exactly do they think people are going to do with the info even if it is correct?
Reliable quake prediction can save many lives. IF you can get 30 seconds advance warning (I believe this is what they had in Japan??) surgeons can remove scalpels from patients. Drivers can pull over. Trains can slow down or even stop.

Predictions such as the above (likely to happen sometime over a week) are pretty useless.
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Old 03-20-2011, 05:29 PM   #19
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I don't understand the criticism of this Fox News interview. It was a very accurate representation of earthquake forecasting knowledge for the western United States. Primary areas of concern include the southern San Andreas fault (mostly southern California), the Cascadia subduction zone (e.g., Washington and Oregon), and the Hayward fault (San Francisco Bay Area). The person being interviewed, Ken Hudnut, clearly stated that earthquake "prediction" efforts focus on long timescale forecasts. Often, the USGS and others use 30-year prediction windows (e.g., there is a 63% chance of a large M > 6.7 earthquake in the San Francisco Bay Area in the next 30 years).
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Old 03-20-2011, 10:14 PM   #20
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I don't understand the criticism of this Fox News interview.
I think there was some other story involving a prediction within a week, and that link was lost or broken.

You certainly can predict tsunamis. Here is the tsunami warning siren in Japan following the big quake. No one seems to be doing anything, perhaps the video isn't in a low-lying area??


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