A few months back, we had a thread on the future of retail stores in the US.
While change is a normal part of industry, the speed of the transition is unprecedented.
Some of the more recent announcements of store closings:
Sears 300
Target 475
Penney 330
Staples 225
Radioshack 1100
...but more impressive, 2013 closings here:
2013 Roundup Retail Underperforming Stores, Out of Business Closings
Some implications that I see... to which please add your own "take" or observation:
.......................................................................
- Almost all major retailers now have an online presence. Smaller operations go through Amazon or similar online operations:
Amazon Similar Sites | 50 Websites Like Amazon.com - SimilarSiteSearch.com
-Indoor Malls are hollowing out, especially where one or more anchor stores have left.
-Shoppers are increasingly moving from Indoor Malls to large Freestanding stores or outdoor MegaMalls.
-Comparison shopping with mobile devices is now commonplace.
-Entry level retail jobs becoming scarce and seasonal
-Retail management jobs becoming lower paid as responsibilities become standardized and selective. Decisionmaking centralized.
-Downtowns becoming ghost towns, changing to service based businesses, or (the few successful ones) boutique/tea shoppe/antique centers.
-With closings and vacancies, large losses to municipal taxes.
... and on, and on, and on.
All of this means corresponding changes to our social structure, and... for early retirees, a moving landscape with changes that may still be unclear. Try to imagine 10 or 20 years from now, and what these changes will mean to your own life. Detroit? --- Gated Communities? --- Affluenza centers like Shanghai, Dubai, NYC? ---Rural? --- or maybe no change
Of course, changes in the retail business will only be a small part of the coming changes. We've already been through the industrialization and manufacturing changes... the changes in food production, packaging and preparation, and of course the technology changes... All of these in our own lifetimes. The face of cities and even suburbs has changed. Land use has changed. Government has changed.
Anything here to influence your future plans? Break open the Crystal Ball.
While change is a normal part of industry, the speed of the transition is unprecedented.
Some of the more recent announcements of store closings:
Sears 300
Target 475
Penney 330
Staples 225
Radioshack 1100
...but more impressive, 2013 closings here:
2013 Roundup Retail Underperforming Stores, Out of Business Closings
Some implications that I see... to which please add your own "take" or observation:
.......................................................................
- Almost all major retailers now have an online presence. Smaller operations go through Amazon or similar online operations:
Amazon Similar Sites | 50 Websites Like Amazon.com - SimilarSiteSearch.com
-Indoor Malls are hollowing out, especially where one or more anchor stores have left.
-Shoppers are increasingly moving from Indoor Malls to large Freestanding stores or outdoor MegaMalls.
-Comparison shopping with mobile devices is now commonplace.
-Entry level retail jobs becoming scarce and seasonal
-Retail management jobs becoming lower paid as responsibilities become standardized and selective. Decisionmaking centralized.
-Downtowns becoming ghost towns, changing to service based businesses, or (the few successful ones) boutique/tea shoppe/antique centers.
-With closings and vacancies, large losses to municipal taxes.
... and on, and on, and on.
All of this means corresponding changes to our social structure, and... for early retirees, a moving landscape with changes that may still be unclear. Try to imagine 10 or 20 years from now, and what these changes will mean to your own life. Detroit? --- Gated Communities? --- Affluenza centers like Shanghai, Dubai, NYC? ---Rural? --- or maybe no change
Of course, changes in the retail business will only be a small part of the coming changes. We've already been through the industrialization and manufacturing changes... the changes in food production, packaging and preparation, and of course the technology changes... All of these in our own lifetimes. The face of cities and even suburbs has changed. Land use has changed. Government has changed.
Anything here to influence your future plans? Break open the Crystal Ball.