ER_Hopeful
Recycles dryer sheets
just came across this posting in earlyretirementextrem.com. any thoughts?
http://earlyretirementextreme.com/2008/10/the-death-of-index-investing.html
quote:
Today the S&P500 continued its downward trajectory. If you had bought index funds 10 years ago or 5 years ago, you would have gotten exactly nowhere(*). In October 1998, 10 years ago, the S&P 500 traded around 995. In September 2003, 5 years ago, the S&P 500 also traded around 995. In between those dates, the index generally traded higher. This means that if you have relied on dollar cost averaging over the past five or ten years like a herd of experts recommend, you would have lost money, because the current price is below the average price. Dollar cost averaging only works insofar the the final price is higher than the average price and not surprisingly, most proponents of dollar cost averaging finishes the the example on a high price, not a low price. In reality dollar cost averaging cuts both ways and it only works to average out volatility. So much for that theory.
[moderator edit - copyright concerns. Follow the link at the top for the full article.]
end quote
http://earlyretirementextreme.com/2008/10/the-death-of-index-investing.html
quote:
Today the S&P500 continued its downward trajectory. If you had bought index funds 10 years ago or 5 years ago, you would have gotten exactly nowhere(*). In October 1998, 10 years ago, the S&P 500 traded around 995. In September 2003, 5 years ago, the S&P 500 also traded around 995. In between those dates, the index generally traded higher. This means that if you have relied on dollar cost averaging over the past five or ten years like a herd of experts recommend, you would have lost money, because the current price is below the average price. Dollar cost averaging only works insofar the the final price is higher than the average price and not surprisingly, most proponents of dollar cost averaging finishes the the example on a high price, not a low price. In reality dollar cost averaging cuts both ways and it only works to average out volatility. So much for that theory.
[moderator edit - copyright concerns. Follow the link at the top for the full article.]
end quote
Last edited by a moderator: