Canadian Grunt
Recycles dryer sheets
There are many references to the depression on the forum lately.
I just want to highlight some fundamental differences between the depression and today’s market.
1. During the depression over 9,000 banks failed. Only a few have failed so far and no personal assets (savings were lost).
2. Government miscues during the depression included tariffs, which caused a trade war with Europe.
3. The US government increased interest rates and taxes at the worst possible time (at the start of the Depression).
4. There was a weak social network, no unemployment insurance, SS, regulations for laid off workers.
5. There was 25% unemployment at the height, today around 6% unemployment.
6. There was lax market regulation and uncoordinated international markets.
7. There are more differences but I got tired of listing them.
Japanese recession:
There are many problems for Japan during their ongoing recession during the 90's. Of note, the Japanese too long to impose bank reform.
Most importantly, for some reason, even today, around 40% of Japanese store their money at home. They are ultra conservative and risk adverse. I don’t believe their problems will be indicative of this recession.
We may endure a longish recession; however, the markets will rebound.
What do you all think?
I just want to highlight some fundamental differences between the depression and today’s market.
1. During the depression over 9,000 banks failed. Only a few have failed so far and no personal assets (savings were lost).
2. Government miscues during the depression included tariffs, which caused a trade war with Europe.
3. The US government increased interest rates and taxes at the worst possible time (at the start of the Depression).
4. There was a weak social network, no unemployment insurance, SS, regulations for laid off workers.
5. There was 25% unemployment at the height, today around 6% unemployment.
6. There was lax market regulation and uncoordinated international markets.
7. There are more differences but I got tired of listing them.
Japanese recession:
There are many problems for Japan during their ongoing recession during the 90's. Of note, the Japanese too long to impose bank reform.
Most importantly, for some reason, even today, around 40% of Japanese store their money at home. They are ultra conservative and risk adverse. I don’t believe their problems will be indicative of this recession.
We may endure a longish recession; however, the markets will rebound.
What do you all think?