Nortel-- not for everyone. Maybe not anyone.
Not for the faint of heart. It's what Lynch used to call "backing up the truck".
We can't do it on Nortel's financial data, can we? It reminds me of the 2000-2002 restatements of the rest of the sector. (I bet Nortel was messing with derivatives too.) I'd love to calculate price/book or price/sales but then I'd be at the back of the "buy" line behind a thousand other analysts with faster connections.
Nortel's divesting themselves of their low-margin brutally-competitive fabrication business. They're free to focus on innovation & design, which (I hope) is their strength. I'm amazed at everyone's fascination with VOIP and I'm glad that Nortel doesn't own fiber.
Bill Owens, the new CEO, is a submariner who made it to Vice-Chairman of the JCS before he retired. He had so little ego invested in that job (highly unusual among nukes anywhere and especially rare at that elevated Pentagon strata) that he wore his Navy uniform without a warfare pin. (For you non-Navy types, this is the equivalent of working naked.) That had a huge positive impact on the usual interservice rivalries and I think his team-building skills will carry over at Nortel. Anyhow I trust the guy and his communications skills. Bad news has been promulgated early (last month's comment on margins) and he's been hinting at good news (19 Aug). Cashflow is reportedly good (a Buffett criteria, although I'm hardly a Buffett Diehard). But I have to emphasize that I haven't seen any actual cashflow numbers.
The tech & especially telcom sectors have been getting pounded (and they've been begging for it) but I think reversion to the mean is overdue. Since the end of April, sell volume has mostly been light and buy volume has been more effective.
I'll say it again, this is highly speculative hobby-stock money. Our retirement portfolio is in Tweedy Browne, Berkshire Hathaway, and index ETFs. Most of my Nortel shares have been purchased below $3.50 with the regrettable exception of one at $4.50. I certainly wouldn't go on margin with this one and I may end up holding it for a year or two if Bill misses a step.
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=NT
http://cbs.marketwatch.com/news/sto...-82AE-F8FB4FA5F82E}&siteid=google&dist=google