I don't even think it's the level of funding so much as it is systemic problems with some plans. You can't allow spiking, promise benefits based on assumed investment returns of over 8% and give 90% of base pay for 30 years of service at age 50 and remain solvent through all foreseeable economic cycles. And you can't look at a good year in the stock market and say "we don't need to fund the pension plan this year".
Actually Zig, while spiking and other scams make great media headlines, the biggest problem in Illinois, by far, was the lack of funding. Yes, overly optimistic estimates of investment returns are part of the lack of funding issue, but remember that in Illinois the bottom line has been to not fund the system. That was consistent. The excuse not to fund varied from year to year, but the not funding part stayed the same. Whether the excuse was good investment returns, new actuarial tables, we can't afford it this year but we'll make it up next year, etc., etc., the consistent thing was failure to fund. And so be it. Today it is what it is.
I stayed up and read about the situation in Illinois late into the night last night. It turns out there is much, much more to the proposal than the players are putting out on the table for public review. This is not a surprise in Illinois politics. For example, switching to the new plan is proposed as being voluntary.......... Not switching will mean giving up subsidized retiree medical insurance but for many, say a teacher who has spousal coverage anyway, it won't matter. Or, once you hit 65, the Illinois retiree med plan is actually more expensive than Medicare plus a good supplement. Quinn says he expects only about 75% of the plan participants to switch. I imagine there are also some thoughts of a tie-in to ObamaCare since that source of med insurance would enable folks to be less concerned about giving up the Illinois retiree package. In fact, I'm wondering if the real savings aren't going to be from not providing retiree med insurance, or at least that will be an important part of it.
Another interesting tidbit mentioned but not emphasized is that the new plan shifts the cost of public pensions form the state to local taxing districts. Over several years, teacher and municipal pensions will be switched to being funded by local communities through higher property taxes. Only true state employees (less than one forth of the total) will be funded through the state income tax. While the state ledger will look more pleasing, home owners will find their property tax bills going up as the cost burden shifts from Springfield to Podunk, Ill. I was unable to find a proposed algorithm or time table for this "cost sharing." It will be a good thing to have the cost as part of property taxes as property taxes tend to get more scrutiny than income taxes. The shift in funding form state income tax to local property tax appears to be a pact between Rahm Emanuel and Pat Quinn and is related to the fact that Chicago already funds its public pensions through local property taxes. It's good news for Chicago residents and bad news for suburbanites and down-staters.
So....... there is much more to this than we're discussing here. It will be interesting to watch it unfold.
I'd suggest folks who actually have some vested interest in what's happening in Illinois do some googling and some reading. What we're discussing here is just general hogwash about pensions. If you or someone close is involved in Illinois, best to do some additional research as the devil is in the details.