CaliforniaMan
Full time employment: Posting here.
My adviser is arguing that if you can, the best strategy is to keep an amount equal to 5-8 years of living expenses (whatever you think the longest duration of a downturn is likely to be) in cash and short bonds, the rest in equities. His reasoning is that the real investing goal is to avoid permanent loss of capital not to avoid paper losses. The plan would be to only refresh the cash/bond buffer when I can do so by selling equities at a gain and having this buffer should mean I never have to sell at a loss.
Historically he's about right, especially if I dollar cost average to that arrangement over 5 years (just to be sure today isn't June of 2007 ).
I'm still trying to digest that way of looking at things after years of being a "Random Walk/Couch Potato" oriented thinker.
This means he is advocating (at a 4% withdrawal rate for example) approximately an 80/20 to 70/30 portfolio. Is that what he is telling you?
Last edited by a moderator: