nun
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
- Joined
- Feb 17, 2006
- Messages
- 4,872
Here is a study of various withdrawal strategies from a retirement portfolio
http://www.bobsfinancialwebsite.com/pdfs/Is_Rebalancing_a_Portfolio_During_Retirement_Necessary.pdf
The conclusion is that the best plan is to spend your bonds/fixed income allocations down to zero before touching your stocks. This leaves you with a 100% stock portfolio which you might go with or then rebalance into bonds if you just can't deal with the volatility.
This is presented as some amazing discovery, but basically we all know that a portfolio heavy in stocks has historically outperformed one biased towards bonds so by spending down the bonds and letting the stocks ride it's not difficult see that it might be a high return approach. So why isn't the conclusion of the study that a 100% stock portfolio is best? and why isn't risk considered? Such planning is like an engineer designing without considering the 100 year event.
I'd go with a 100% stock portfolio if I had a pension or bought a SPIA to cover my expenses, but failing that I'd still rebalance a 50/50 retirement portfolio as I believe it gives good return with significantly less risk than the spending bonds first approach.
http://www.bobsfinancialwebsite.com/pdfs/Is_Rebalancing_a_Portfolio_During_Retirement_Necessary.pdf
The conclusion is that the best plan is to spend your bonds/fixed income allocations down to zero before touching your stocks. This leaves you with a 100% stock portfolio which you might go with or then rebalance into bonds if you just can't deal with the volatility.
This is presented as some amazing discovery, but basically we all know that a portfolio heavy in stocks has historically outperformed one biased towards bonds so by spending down the bonds and letting the stocks ride it's not difficult see that it might be a high return approach. So why isn't the conclusion of the study that a 100% stock portfolio is best? and why isn't risk considered? Such planning is like an engineer designing without considering the 100 year event.
I'd go with a 100% stock portfolio if I had a pension or bought a SPIA to cover my expenses, but failing that I'd still rebalance a 50/50 retirement portfolio as I believe it gives good return with significantly less risk than the spending bonds first approach.