TromboneAl said:
When this happens, brick and mortar rental stores will become obsolete overnight. I predict that in five years, there will be no video rental outlets.
Second problem: TIVO.
You need to spend a few hours watching the typical video store customers-- my parents-in-law-- "using" their computer and their DVR. My FIL recently upgraded to a 56K modem but he sees no reason to abandon Win98 (mostly because he knows nothing about the subject). The DVR has given them endless hours of frustration and arguments entertainment as they scream at each other discuss who's accidentally deleted recording what for whom and sort among all their remotes cluelessly punching buttons what they pray plan to watch next.
For those of you without parents, Jay Leno used to do a routine on teaching his folks to use the answering machine he bought for them. Same thing here-- as long as my parents-in-law are around then Blockbuster & Movie Gallery have nothing to fear.
brewer12345 said:
Nords, what is a reasonable :virtual stop" price here? I wouldn't actually put an order in, but at some point I do have to consider my pain threshhold (something I have never done in the past).
When I bought at $21.09 & $19.50 I used a stop at $17.90. That's outside the Bollinger bands (more than two standard deviations away from the price) and below the whole number so that the market makers couldn't easily flush you out on short-term volatility. Didn't take long to get there, did it? But the sell-stop was less than $14. (Note to self: use these more often if you find an attractive small-cap value stock.) Setting a $17.90 stop for a $19.50 buy was pretty tight but the stock was oversold, the technicals were turning up, blah blah.
At $13.70 I'll give this sucker down to $10.85. (A little more than 20% and below the whole-dollar number.) I sure hope we're not going further into unexplored territory...
wildcat said:
Give Brew a break or in fact buy him a beer for posting stock recos for those of us that like to buy some individual stocks. Guy does his homework. I did not buy any MOVI but I recognize sound reasoning.
I second that! When it comes to stocks & discussion boards, honesty & practicing what you preach are all too rare.
wildcat said:
Nords - It can easily look like another Dexter/World Book but not so much IMHO. Dexter was a victim of outsourcing, just couldn't compete with the other shoe producers that moved overseas. World Book sells information, the net is whatever World Book has to offer and it comes faster and much cheaper.
Well, I'm not praying yet but I am gulping and looking at my analysis. I think the best thing to do now is to go surfing.
Buffett bought WorldBook only a few months before Microsoft came out with their encyclopedia on a CD. (Of course this was before Warren & Bill became best buddies.) I'm just hoping the same disruption isn't occurring here... and of course if I was short I'd be dancing. But the shorts are all probably moving on to Baidu!