Vanguard's 2012 Outlook

[walkinwood]

Vanguard's 2012 outlook makes interesting reading, but boring conclusions

Our VCMM simulations indicate that balanced-portfolio returns over the next decade are likely to be below long-run historical averages in nominal terms, but are much more likely to approach those averages when adjusted for future inflation. In short, the distribution of real returns on a balanced portfolio looks more normal than abnormal.

We believe that a balanced and diversifed low-cost portfolio can remain an extremely high-value proposition in the decade ahead.

Here's the link to the document.
http://www.vanguard.com/pdf/s289.pdf

I found it to be quite comprehensive though I wish they'd talk in plain English. I think the format would enforce good discipline if you were tempted to make your own long term projections.

 

[FinanceDude]

So, if the indexes do good, VG does good...otherwise?

 

[73ss454]

So, if the indexes do good, VG does good...otherwise?

Isn't that always the case? If what you invest in does good then .......

 

[TromboneAl]

I would like to read their outlook document from 10 years ago.

 

[ducky911]

I would like to read their outlook document from 10 years ago.

Oh yes that would be a good read.....i think that vangard will always push for a balanced port. And i agree, but for different reasons i think that the balanced port. works because of the buzz about it. What is popular will go up.