Care to elaborate? I always figured that everyone has to be 'in' to avoid this. Maybe the barrier to entry can be low enough that adverse selection is minimized enough to be rather insignificant, rather than eliminated?
Yes, I think lowering the cost of basic insurance is important. If the subsidies are sufficient then there'll be no one (theoretically) who couldn't afford to buy the coverage.
But then we'll have people who would
prefer to spend the money on something else. Or would choose to wait to buy coverage until they hear the ambulance. How to motivate them without a government penalty?
For those that are in the mainstream of society (hold a job, want to have good credit, etc), requests for proof of health insurance by employers, creditors, etc should be commonplace. If I ran a mortgage company, I wouldn't lend money to anyone without this insurance--the cost is reasonable, and if they get sick without it, the medical bills reduce the likelihood that I'll be repaid. Same with employers: I want healthy employees. I can't make 'em go to the doctor, but I can screen them to be sure they are insured so they'll likely go when they need to.
Want to enroll Johnny in daycare? Please show us your insurance card.
Set enrollment windows and waiting periods to discourage the gamers. If you're uninsured when the bus hits you, you are out of luck. Sorry, but our society has gone to extreme expense to facilitate your care, you have acted irresponsibly. Yes, it
is harsh. But it is no worse than the situation today when a person without insurance gets sick, right?
The safety net: For those who are mentally incapable of making an informed decision to act on their own behalf, the courts step in and enroll them. For individuals who gambled by being uninsured and lost, they will get care but their assets will be liquidated if necessary and their wages (if any) garnished to pay for their medical care.
Also, using the tax code to induce insurance enrollment
might pass Constitutional muster if done differently than the present law. Wyden-Bennett envisioned a larger standard deduction as a mechanism to provide subsidies (I need to read the law, I'm not sure how this helps those without a tax liability). Okay, but like a lot of other things on the tax form, you get the benefit if you jump through the hoop. So, state under penalty of perjury that you have health insurance meeting the minimum requirements or you don't get the deduction. Include your policy number on the tax form. Folks who have insurance get the tax deduction (just as those who have a mortgage get an interest deduction, etc). The IRS would be empowered to verify the insurance coverage claimed (just as they have automated systems to check the 1099s and W-2s against what is listed on the form). Fines would be substantial.
Will these steps produce 100% compliance? No. But I'd bet they get us closer to 100% compliance than the very insufficient penalties included in the
present legislation. Most folks, healthy or sick, rich or poor, are going to jump at this chance to get health insurance. We'll be left dealing with the folks who, for whatever reason, are too dim or too drugged out to recognize their self-interest and act to advance it.
Anyway, those are some ideas.