Lsbcal
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
We had to evacuate our Santa Rosa house last Tuesday with fires coming towards our house. The mountain behind us had billowing smoke and through binoculars I could see flames in the burning grasses on the west side of the mountain towards us. We left the area and stayed with some kind friends. Over the next few days we worried a lot as there was no definitive news about the fire’s progress toward our neighborhood and our house in particular. It felt like we might loose the house and all our possessions. The winds gusted a bit where we were staying. The news was about terrible destruction and loss of life. DW and I were very, very anxious even though we knew we were lucky to have gotten out safely. I know there may be some reading this who have had similar or worse natural disaster experiences and I now have a better appreciation of such anxieties.
Why do I mention that here in this ER FIRE & Money forum? Because for me those same feelings were present in the 2008-2009 stock market melt down. For me there is this feeling that you don’t know the final outcome, you are at the mercy of powerful negative trends, and it created a great deal of uncertainty and fear. Of course you kind of know the situation in the stock market as you watch the prices (as opposed to your house and a fire). But even that knowledge can feed on your anxiety as the market goes up some and then looses those gains plus some more. That huge anxiety can just keep growing. What if there were no successful government intervention and we relived the 1930’s in that 2008 decline? The initial decline paths over months were very similar. It could have gone south and then those nice gains since 2009 might not have happened.
I don’t want to make too much of this analogy of fires and stock market declines. But human anxiety is real and at least in our investments we can deal with it before a possible stock market fire. I am not predicting anything going forward as clearly markets fluctuate and the future is unpredictable. Just saying to keep focused on sensible goals. And we should remember that sometimes multiple bad events can happen to families in a short time period. Examples: natural disasters, personal health declines, money worries, family tragedies.
BTW, the firefighters were fantastic and we are back in our home. For us anxiety is subsiding but the anxious memories linger. I now have the luxury of sitting back and contemplating future moves.
Why do I mention that here in this ER FIRE & Money forum? Because for me those same feelings were present in the 2008-2009 stock market melt down. For me there is this feeling that you don’t know the final outcome, you are at the mercy of powerful negative trends, and it created a great deal of uncertainty and fear. Of course you kind of know the situation in the stock market as you watch the prices (as opposed to your house and a fire). But even that knowledge can feed on your anxiety as the market goes up some and then looses those gains plus some more. That huge anxiety can just keep growing. What if there were no successful government intervention and we relived the 1930’s in that 2008 decline? The initial decline paths over months were very similar. It could have gone south and then those nice gains since 2009 might not have happened.
I don’t want to make too much of this analogy of fires and stock market declines. But human anxiety is real and at least in our investments we can deal with it before a possible stock market fire. I am not predicting anything going forward as clearly markets fluctuate and the future is unpredictable. Just saying to keep focused on sensible goals. And we should remember that sometimes multiple bad events can happen to families in a short time period. Examples: natural disasters, personal health declines, money worries, family tragedies.
BTW, the firefighters were fantastic and we are back in our home. For us anxiety is subsiding but the anxious memories linger. I now have the luxury of sitting back and contemplating future moves.