CCdaCE
Full time employment: Posting here.
- Joined
- Apr 3, 2006
- Messages
- 897
I read things that say that "everyone" expects the stock market to return less in the future.
Threads like this.
So, who has their crystal ball working? The Vanguard Total Stock Market Fund has returned 11.8% over the past 5 years, and 7.6% over the last 10.
Does reversion to the mean say that we're gonna get smacked eventually if we're in the market, so it'll all average out to 4% after inflation? That's what it's been. Is total return going to go even lower?
Is it another case of "past performance is no indication of future results", or whatever? Is it a case of nobody knows, so we'll just try to cover our butts by saying that until low returns show up. If they don't show up, great.
Since the market keeps going up, what's driving it? American consumption alone?
-CC
Threads like this.
So, who has their crystal ball working? The Vanguard Total Stock Market Fund has returned 11.8% over the past 5 years, and 7.6% over the last 10.
Does reversion to the mean say that we're gonna get smacked eventually if we're in the market, so it'll all average out to 4% after inflation? That's what it's been. Is total return going to go even lower?
Is it another case of "past performance is no indication of future results", or whatever? Is it a case of nobody knows, so we'll just try to cover our butts by saying that until low returns show up. If they don't show up, great.
Since the market keeps going up, what's driving it? American consumption alone?
-CC