How being conservative probably cost me $30K

Just be sure that it never happens again. Or you might have to become a real estate mogul. ;)

So I take it that we're not really disputing real estates value as an investment...just that its not possible to make money on it through foresight?

Cuz jeez...I can say the same about almost any investment...if you could buy and sell with foresight, there'd be zero risk premium and no significant returns to be made.
 
Ah...so you're saying that profiting on your home can involve some planning to improve ones success?


This "luck" theory seems to be taking on water...
 
Ah...so you're saying that profiting on your home can involve some planning to improve ones success?


This "luck" theory seems to be taking on water...

Yeah. When I lived in Pittsburgh in the 80s, one of my colleagues bought a row house in steeltown for $15K. When he had finished with it, it looked like House Beautiful, and the neighbours had caught the reno bug. Wonder what it's worth now?
 
I borrowed more on my house last Aug and have made about 29K on the extra 114K I borrowed. It was a major risk but so far so good. When I retire I will move this will allow me the funds to pay cash for my retirement home if I want so I don't need to finance then sell this house and invest that money. I could finance the new house and keep the investment and sell this house and invest the money going into retirement with a 100% mortgage. The investments would probably pay the mortgage payments but I wouldn't be happy having to take out money each month. With no mortgage I could live on SS and rental income so if my investments failed I would be OK. Being OK isn't great but it is way better than not being OK.
 
In 1997 we were very heavily invested in company stock. We sold some of our company stock to pay off our mortgage - this was a way of lessening our risk. If things blew up or we lost jobs, at least we didn't need to worry about the monthly mortgage bill. (We were no longer getting tax benefits from the mortgage anyway - annual interest paid was too low).

The company stock did very well - probably doubled or tripled from there. No question that paying off the mortgage "cost" us in terms of profits from company stock - maybe 100K or more. But IMO it was a very prudent decision considering the considerable financial risk, and it really did help us sleep better at night. I don't regret it for a minute.

How we slept at night holding all that company stock I have no idea, but it did ultimately let us retire way early. If we had diversified like a "prudent" individual would, we would either still be working or retired on a much slimmer budget.

Audrey
 
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