I didn't answer the poll as it is more complex than picking a single number
When I retired I had 10 times my annual BUDGETED expenses in my portfolio.
BUT, I have a nice Pension
AND eventually I will receive Social Security
AND I do expect some returns on my money
Then there is the question of expenses
If I lived bare minimum in my current home, I would need $58K, the largest expenses are $20K Health Insurance (Pre Medicaid), $12K for Home owners Ins and Property taxes. Then Auto Insurance and Fed and state taxes
But I saved a lot (with pension in mind) so I wouldn't have to live bare minimum
I can up a level of comfort to $100K a year covering my NFL Football tickets, $15K for travel, $16K for Entertainment, eating out and shopping. Shopping is a broad topic that covers anything we buy from Landscaping Materials to clothes. Plus additional taxes
But then there is always something. This year I replaced an HVAC system, next year the 2nd HVAC and possibly trade in my wifes car
Some years we splurge on a more expensive trip and fly Business Class or sail SilverSea Cruise rather than Celebrity
And then there are things I buy because I want to. Not extravagant or wasteful (to me). Something to do with one of my hobbies
So I budget $150K a year.
If I take the last 5 years of expenses while working and add in my current Health Insurance, I come to between $128-$136K in expenses once my House payment is removed (Paid off now). I no longer need the 401K contribution or savings expense allocation so those are removed as well. Anything I don't spend is savings
I up'd the expense to $150K to cover more travel and more other things even though there are less expenses like lunch, gas and clothes. How you determine your Expense target depends on what you want to do.
This year with a new HVAC, funding 529, and out of pocket costs on a new roof, I will be slightly over the $150K budget.
Some years I will be over and some years I will be under
That is why I stress test my long range plan to $160K. At $160K, with portfolio, pension and SS, I could live forever
At least until the 110 years my plots go to.
Do I believe the plan? I believe it is a good starting point that will change over time getting better at times and worse at others depending on inflation, market returns, health and other factors.
I know I could also chop my expenses way down if I HAD TO. I also know I can afford to live life the way I did before I retired and do what we want when we want as long as the value is there for us.
I factor Inflation, 1.5% COLA on SS and a 23% cut to SS in 2034 (Just in case). No COLA on my pension and a 3-4% ROI on my investments. I have stress tested it to 0% ROI and still good to age 97
I made a great living and enjoyed life while I did it. I did not want to change that when I retired or I could have retired earlier. That was more important to me than retiring early, which I still did at 60.
Sorry for the long post, I just wanted to explain why for me it was more complicated than how many years of expenses and the reason behind it
The one thing I have learned on this forum above everything else is every ones situation is different and what works for one does not work for others.