FUEGO
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
- Joined
- Nov 13, 2007
- Messages
- 7,746
I think there was more to the two income trap than just discretionary spending of double incomes. Particularly competition for adequate housing likely drives prices to higher levels where two incomes are required to purchase the expected lifestlye, as well as increased probablity of losing a job when there are two. Remember she is drawing broad general conclusions based on population trends, not describing any particular household, especially not a rare LBYM FIRE one.
Re: increased probability of losing a job with a 2 income household. Of course. Pardon me for the engineering take on it, but any system that has two parts operating in series, each of which is equally likely to fail, will have a higher cumulative probability of failure versus a system with only one of the parts in series.
The problem is that her way of viewing 2 incomes is flawed. Losing 1 income in a 2 income household doesn't lead to zero income. Probably more like 75% of the previous income (the jobless person gets unemployment). Add to that the potential savings on work-related expenses (commuting, dry cleaning, lunches out etc) and ability to avoid child care expenses. Sure, families that spend 110% of their income are really screwed if their income suddenly drops by 25%. But there are a lot of families that do actually live within their means and actually save a little.
Re: the housing thing and costs inflating, sure there are areas of the country where you really have to pay up to get into an adequate school district. But there is usually a way to get by in a much less expensive house just inside the better school district. Or settling for the slightly less than perfect school/school district knowing that at least your kids will have a roof over their heads and stability should a financial issue arise in the family. I think the real reason people are paying a lot more for housing has to do with the fact that average house sizes have doubled in the last few decades. And the houses have nicer amenities in them. Hey, I don't blame people for their choices - nice new houses are nice and new, very appealing! But how do you really know people are moving to the expensive parts of town for the school districts versus other things (status, nicer housing, cleaner newer look around the suburbs, more land, etc). In reality I'm sure it is a combination of motivations.
Of course her book viewed things from the lens of bankruptcy. Families were living on the edge, had no savings, and had lots of debt. An unexpected medical issue with the accompanying job loss or underemployment = financial catastrophe.