FIRE success rate

[gcgang]

I've never used FIRECALC.
For Monte Carlo simulators:
Over 90%, "sacrificing" too much, can "spend" more, retire earlier, use less aggressive AA, leave larger legacy, etc;
Under 75-80%, too uncertain, need to cut back expenses, work longer, and/or get more assets.

 

[SecondCor521]

Have to do it. (Skip ahead to 1:20 for the relevant part if you're in a hurry.)

 

[daylatedollarshort]

100% to age 100+, still saving, living below our means in retirement and hope to have some extra left to leave to the kids.